http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archives/2012/11/09/little-changed-in-latest-election-results Comments On: Little Changed in Latest Election Results by Goldy en-us Copyright 2013 The Stranger. All rights reserved. This RSS file is offered to individuals, The Stranger readers, and non-commercial organizations only. Any commercial websites wishing to use this RSS file, please contact The Stranger. webmaster@thestranger.com (The Stranger Webmaster) Tue, 18 Jun 2013 00:00:01 -0700 Tue, 18 Jun 2013 00:15:00 -0700 Foundation http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss Posted by Pridge Wessea]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 19:21:38 -0800 The Stranger
These figures are just a mathematical snapshot based upon available information at vote.wa.gov. The snapshot will change every time more ballots either arrive, or are counted. I'm actually not using a spreadsheet, just paper and a calculator. Old school.
Posted by Diana]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 13:23:31 -0800 The Stranger Posted by maddogm13]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 12:09:18 -0800 The Stranger
All the rest of the ballots are "late."
Posted by Goldy]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 12:06:43 -0800 The Stranger Posted by Matt from Denver]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 11:34:36 -0800 The Stranger
They may not arrive until today.

Anything else anyone says is just ... speculation.

And informed speculation says it's over. And King County and other blue areas turned out massively. When everyone votes, we win.
Posted by Will in Seattle]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 11:18:20 -0800 The Stranger
1) The 9am update consisted of 175 ballots tallied in Columbia County. No reason to recalculate your spreadsheet.

2) The count of "remaining ballots" is just an (under)estimate. As Mr. Happy Sunshine says @18, the current total comes out as a 79% turnout, but he then says "holy crap" about that number. In truth, though, 79% would be extremely low turnout. We had 84.6% turnout in 2008, 82.2% in 2004 (from a spreadsheet downloaded from here). Sherril Huff says King County has 985,000 ballots in-hand, which translates to around 84% turnout, a bit above 2008 in the county ... and more ballots will arrive today.

3) All that said, it would require an astonishing, absolutely unprecedented "late ballot" effect to produce a win for McKenna. It's more conceivable to envision a win for Drew or No on I-1240, but the hurdle is still very high in both cases.
Posted by N in Seattle]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 11:02:52 -0800 The Stranger Posted by sanotehu]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 10:34:51 -0800 The Stranger Posted by I Got Nuthin']]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 10:22:09 -0800 The Stranger Posted by Diana]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 10:15:51 -0800 The Stranger Posted by Mr. Happy Sunshine]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 09:49:46 -0800 The Stranger 2,000 vote threshold that triggers an automatic recount. And, of course, that could turn into a complete gong-show.

According to the Sec. of State, there have been 2,475,680 ballots counted as of last night. The estimated remaining ballots are 595,614, for a total turnout number of 3,071,294 (~79% -- holy crap!!).

So McKenna's total vote share would have to increase to about 49.93%. Statistically possible? Considering 36% (more than 214,000) of the remaining estimated ballots are from King County (and 80,000 more are in Snohomish county where Inslee is holding a good margin), I'll shave my mustache (after I grow one) if McKenna ultimately wins.
Posted by Mr. Happy Sunshine]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 09:46:49 -0800 The Stranger
About a third of the votes left to be counted are from King County, which has been running against the ballot measure, but not in that proportion.

So, while it still remains "too close to call", there is little probability that the initiative will be rejected.
Posted by Charlie Mas]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 09:36:47 -0800 The Stranger Posted by Diana]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 09:35:31 -0800 The Stranger Posted by care bear]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 09:25:58 -0800 The Stranger Posted by Diana]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 09:02:06 -0800 The Stranger Posted by Diana]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 08:55:07 -0800 The Stranger
That his margin of more votes is lower doesn't mean he didn't get more votes. It just means that he got more votes.

Posted by Timothy]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 08:47:03 -0800 The Stranger Posted by Joel_are]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 08:36:10 -0800 The Stranger Posted by Matt from Denver]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 08:34:42 -0800 The Stranger Posted by Cato the Younger Younger]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 08:18:37 -0800 The Stranger Posted by Matt from Denver]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 08:14:23 -0800 The Stranger did win.
Posted by Matt from Denver]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 08:13:05 -0800 The Stranger Posted by pfffter]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 08:12:49 -0800 The Stranger Posted by pfffter]]> Fri, 09 Nov 2012 08:11:59 -0800 The Stranger