Durkan's going to wind up with 30% of the vote, which is pretty weak for the establishment candidate. Whose voters will she be able to peel off in November? Moon/Oliver? No. McGinn? No. Hasegawa? No. Farrell? Maybe.

@1:

Nothing in last night's election returns gave me more pleasure than McGinn trailing all the other contenders. Say goodbye, Mike.

93 tomorrow? I thought it was 98 that was forecast. 93 is endurable. 98 not so much.

Here's hoping it wasn't a typo.

Wow, this is such great news, and a much needed respite from our ongoing national nightmare. I'll be proud to have any one of these three leaders as our next mayor.

Doug dear, don't forget that this was a primary, so only the most interested voted, and a lot of the progressive block who voted for one of the losing candidates will sit the general out because neither of the two choices passes their own personal purity tests.

It's a choice between a former prosecutor and someone who seems to be best known for objecting to the tunnel, which will open during her tenure if she is elected. It will be an interesting race.

What's for lunch?

@5 PURITY TESTS!! Catalina, when did you turn into a rhinoceros?

Did TS just assume their genders?

"Our town is very pretty
We have a pretty little square
We have a woman for a mayor
Our policy is firm but fair"

Moon would be a replay of McGinn and Durkan will be a replay of Murray (hopefully without the unproven allegations of kiddie rape). Needless to say I have little hope for Seattle's next four years being much better than the past four years.

@1 considering there were 21 candidates it's actually pretty good.

The fact that someone who sued the city of Seattle for policy misconduct against POC is not considered "progressive" shows the sad state of our city's leftist politics.

*police

@5 - also don't forget that this was a Primary, so every conservative who is ever going to vote did so - and almost certainly for Durkan.

I'd suspect that a lot of the progressive block who voted for one of the losing candidates will still vote in the General - if only to oppose a more-of-the-same institutional candidate like Durkan.

I'm with @1, this is not good for Durkan.

Durkan: 31.6%
Moon+Oliver: 29.7%

Oliver has a lot of momentum and this is a huge showing for Moon.
McGinn's votes will go to Moon over Durkan and Moon has pledged total support for Oliver if she pulls ahead.

@14 Don't forget that Jessyn Farrell got 11.8 percent. Her bloc will vote for Durkan without a doubt.

I'm with @1, this is not good for Durkan.

Durkan: 31.6%
Moon+Oliver: 29.7%

Oliver has a lot of momentum and this is a huge showing for Moon.
McGinn's votes will go to Moon over Durkan and Moon has pledged total support for Oliver if she pulls ahead.

#JennyonebutDurkan

Oh and @1 nailed it, with @13 14 16 fairly close.

It is hard to say where the votes will go. At this point we don't even know who will be nominated. I think Moon is a much stronger candidate than Oliver. I know I'm not alone in having trouble with someone who is too busy to vote, but finds the time to get a J. D. But assuming that Moon wins the nomination, I think she stands a chance of picking up some votes from the other candidates. The problem is that while Farrell and Moon are fairly closely aligned on most issues, Farrell has political experience, while Moon does not. A lot of Farrell voters may just play it safe and vote for Durkan, for fear of electing another McGinn. I would expect Hasegawa voters to go for Durkan at a higher rate, since Moon and Hasegawa aren't aligned on any issue, and many Hasegawa voters supported him because of his experience. I think it is a great mystery where McGinn voters will go. Maybe they voted based on experience and name recognition (in which Durkan is a likely choice) or maybe because of his policies (in which case Moon is more likely).

But don't forget the people who simply didn't vote in the primary, but will vote in the general. These are the people that Durkan hopes to win over as the mainstream candidate. Since she is arguably the only one qualified in the general election, I expect her campaign to be all about that now. It wouldn't surprise me if she trashes McGinn in the process (e. g. "Remember when we elected a well meaning, but inexperienced candidate for mayor? He was so bad he was defeated twice in a row, the last time earning only 7% of the vote . Vote for the experienced progressive. Vote Durkan"). In short, the only candidate that Durkan feared was Farrell, and she appears to be coming in fourth.

"Keeping in character with her cookie-cutter political campaign, Durkan offered a delivered a platitudinal speech to supporters at a bierhalle whose name Sydney Brownstone could not pronounce." While I did not vote for Jenny Durkan, and I am not overly fond of her campaign, I cannot see how she deserves this sort of mean-spirited condescension. You don't support her? Fine. But this sort of statement, oozing insult and disrespect, is the sort of overkill that creates sympathy for her--and anyone The Stranger staff seems to target for its hatred. Yes, sure, Durkan has her flaws--but doesn't every human being? Don't "compassion" and "community" entail the effort to understand and respect, not cheaply denigrate? And since when did Durkan talk about The Stranger in the same way? She might not have earned your support, but Durkan--and none of the mayoral candidates--merits this kind of ugly disrespect.

Oliver's defeated-sounding comments were pretty weird. Has someone told her yet she still has a good shot?

I guess she doesn't have so much experience watching the lefty votes trickle in on post-election data drops.

TheMisanthrope dear, what is a "rhinocerous"?

And I've been complaining about liberal "purity tests" for approximately One Million Years.

Durkan is the status quo, 4 more years of unchecked Amazon growth and big developers eating what little remains of Seattle's soul. Being gay isn't enough, our mayor needs to have a spine with big business. I'm not sure Seattle can endure 4 more years of corporate soul sucking.

@21: Good point.

@22: Oliver has a reasonable shot at making the final, but very little chance of winning it.

@26 actually the Stranger pushed for Moon to win. She's kind of a nut job too.

@23 A rhinoceros is a person who mindlessly spouts groupthink catchphrases and gets caught up in rampaging herds. It's a term that comes from Ionesco's absurdist play, Rhinoceros, where one man watches everybody around him get caught up in the angry masses and turn into mindless rhinoceroses. (This was also the basis of Zombie Strippers, but to a far lesser extent).

"Purity Test" is the catchphrase du jour from centrist Democrats to attack anybody who wants to push the political discussion to the left. (IOW, Hillbots used the accusation of "purity tests" as a cudgel against BernieBros...and then created purity tests of their own [see the recent pro-choice])

Thank you, TheMisanthrope dear, for explaining that to me. We tend to lose our place in pop culture - particularly the more obscure corners - as we gets older.

But one only has to look at the stunning successes of the liberal/progressive movement in the last thirty-seven years to see why there might be something to that whole "purity test" thing.

I think that voters will decide based on what they view as current needs for themselves, and for the city. Both Durkan and Moon seem to be qualified for the job. Each has different areas of expertise in current matters of concern.

But I think that voters will say "XX matters to me more than YY, So I'm going to vote for..."

Then there's the issue of Endorsement. N.O. is out. But, she brings a fair amount of votes to the table. Who will she support? Is her endorsement key? I'm leaning toward yes. She can get concessions for some of her issues, funding too. Which can help her for a future run.

As for the others, Farrell, McGinn and Hasegawa bring sizable voting blocks with them too. On the face of it. I see Farrell and McGinn backing Durkan. With Hasegawa being a toss up.

The real politicking begins. Endorsements will be more important than candidates rustling up votes on the campaign trail. As they bring voters with a Made Up Mind.

The key to winning here will be Endorsements, Endorsements, Endorsements.

Experience = establishment. Ed was "experienced" and what did he ever do for Seattle? Paint some crosswalks, shuffle the homeless, and capitulate to SPD and developers? Oh yes, please sign me up for four more years of that.

"Paint some crosswalks, shuffle the homeless, and capitulate to SPD and developers?"

Yes, everything with the SPD was golden before Murray became Mayor, there were no homeless, and we never even had so much as a building permit before he came on the scene.

(excuse me while I attempt to unroll my eyes....)

@33 Murray was a status quo mayor just like Nikels. McGinn broke the mold but was hamstrung by the council.