Yesterday I made a bold prediction: Based on a pot decriminalization initiative that passed in Massachusetts last November by a landslide, the announcement that California would likely run a measure to legalize marijuana next year, and that Washington is in a position to run its own ballot measure, I argued that we'd see several states running initiatives to reform pot laws next year. Here's what commenter giantladysquirrels said:

Dominic, you are frequently too willing to forecast broad trends based on a single incident (and in this case, the incident hasn't even happened yet). There's a single initiative planned in a single state. I can't see how that means we should prepare for states around the country to enact new pot laws by the end of next year.

Dear Miss Big Squirrels, I shall instruct the blogosphere to stop forecasting broad trends. However, my prediction wasn't based a single initiative (or even two), but lots of things going on—bills in state legislatures, a new federal administration that probably won't lobby against pot initiatives, polls that show more support for decriminalizing pot, and an economy that's forcing states and voters to rethink spending priorities. And then there's this news in today's Las Vegas Sun:

The Marijuana Policy Project has set up its first state chapter in Las Vegas, launching another effort to get voters to legalize pot in Nevada.

But my prediction may still be off: The group won't run an initiative in Nevada until 2012. Which state will be next to announce a campaign to legalize pot?