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Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Twilight of the GOP

Posted by on Tue, Sep 22, 2009 at 8:00 AM

3863768500_aa60a12872.jpg

This article by two sociologists is to rural America what William Julius Wilson's When Work Disappears: The World of the New Urban Poor was to urban America in the 90s. The problem confronting the rural world:
[T]he rural meltdown has been the hollowing out—that is, losing the most talented young people at precisely the same time that changes in farming and industry have transformed the landscape for those who stay. This so-called rural "brain drain" isn't a new phenomenon, but by the 21st century the shortage of young people has reached a tipping point, and its consequences are more severe now than ever before. Simply put, many small towns are mere years away from extinction, while others limp along in a weakened and disabled state.

In just over two decades, more than 700 rural counties, from the Plains to the Texas Panhandle through to Appalachia, lost 10 percent or more of their population. Nationally, there are more deaths than births in one of two rural counties. Though the hollowing-out process feeds off the recession, the problem predates, and indeed, presaged many of the nation's current economic woes...

These rural people, by the way, vote Republican and are deeply xenophobic. Yet the solutions to their big problem, their meltdown, are found in adopting values that stand on the left side of the political spectrum.

For example, one solution:

[S]mall towns should seek to embrace immigration whenever possible. The phenomenon of Hispanic boomtowns, a common occurrence in the Midwest, has the potential to transform moribund local economies. Such transformations will be possible only if there is careful planning to ensure that immigrants are integrated into the community in such as way as to increase contact between natives and immigrants and with attendant labor-law reform that curbs abuses and ensures sufficient wages and benefits for workers in agribusiness and manufacturing. Ph.D.'s from India or China and less-skilled immigrants from Mexico or Central America should all be recruited and supported in an effort to make the heartland an immigrant enterprise zone. The region is in critical need of professional-class workers, and bringing in Hispanic workers for the food industry will not be enough to rejuvenate the region.


Another solution:

Alongside the green economy, we should rethink how we produce food in America. Michael Pollan has argued persuasively that now is the time to provide incentives for polycultural farming that will diversify the food produced in the Corn Belt, reduce the use of artificial fertilizers, and increase the availability of organic and locally grown meat and produce. Though it is a daunting prospect to try to loosen the agribusiness stranglehold, reinventing the food industry offers a chance to bring people back onto the land.


And another solution:

[An] area for national action is in the reshaping of postsecondary education to better meet the challenges of globalization and the postindustrial economy. Based on the experiences of the stayers and many of the returners we spoke with, we see a need to provide training in the fields and specialties most sought after, and community colleges will be key in that regard. Already, President Obama has recognized the crucial role community colleges can play when in July he introduced the American Graduation Initiative, which will commit over $12-billion in funding to provide scholarships for students, modernize colleges, and build links with other schools and businesses.

In short, small towns need a revolution in values. The old values, the values of the Value Voters, are killing their way of life.

The article concludes:

The residents of rural America must embrace the fact that to survive, the world they knew and cherished must change. And, on a national level, rural development must be more closely linked to national economic growth priorities, and policies must be created to help these communities prepare for a future that is already here.
Why should those on the right be upset by this conclusion? Because it points directly to the urbanization of rural values (openness to strangers, developing a green economy, increasing spending on education). This has to happen. It will happen.


The image is by Kyle Simourd.

 

Comments (28) RSS

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1
Dude, a flying pig just hovered over to me and announced that you've posted something interesting.
Posted by Judah http://www.suoxi.net on September 22, 2009 at 8:13 AM
Cato the Younger Younger 2
As one of the many Sloggers from a small town let me quote Captian James T. Kirk from Star Trek VI: *ahem* "Let them die!"
Posted by Cato the Younger Younger on September 22, 2009 at 8:19 AM
Baconcat 3
@2: As someone from a large town of 1.2 million people surrounded by such small towns, I agree.
Posted by Baconcat on September 22, 2009 at 8:21 AM
Reality Check 4
As one on the many Sloggers from a small town of just over 10,000 in one of the smallest states in the union.... let me say Charles that this will never fly. They would rather keep their culture and way of life the way it is and die a peaceful death, rather than have nonEurasian immigrants move in, and change the areas values.

One only needs look at what happened when the Hmong moved in to Wisconsin to see an example of this. The Hmong moved in, and brought with then an entirely different set of values when it comes to hunting/fishing culture, which is deeply rooted in Wisconsin, Minnesota, and the Dakotas. The Hmong (under the excuse of their previous culture's mores) have blatantly disregarded any laws relating to hunting and fishing, and have been cited for crimes related to gross overharvest of fish (over 1,100 fish over the limit in one prime example), and trespassing on private property on a daily basis. The local populations have been in an uproar over their ignorance, and are deeply angry and resentful over the local Church groups who have been bringing them in.

It has caused a deep divide amongst the locals, as they live in their insulated world happily without a care of the future.
Posted by Reality Check http://www.nraila.org on September 22, 2009 at 8:26 AM
Theo Magyar 5
Finland is an interesting country for many reasons. Pertinent to this discussion is the fact that their small towns are vibrant and have healthy economies. (Or they did have healthy economies before the current recession.) But Finland has done a number of things to encourage and facilitate this. From
http://www.oecdobserver.org/news/fullsto…
“Our successful response to the 1990s recession clearly shows how a determined and welltargeted recovery policy can positively affect regions and the national economy. However, ensuring that public investments and other measures achieve their goals cannot simply be done by implementing macro-level measures. Instead this requires extensive co-operation among central, regional and local government actors in creating tailored solutions.
Today in Finland, solutions for curbing the current economic crisis are being largely sought along the same lines as during the previous recession. Public investments are being targeted at projects of crucial importance to regional development; increasing investments are being made in R&D activity, education and competence; regional and local innovation and expertise are being developed; and the networking of regional actors involved is being extended, even internationally. To enhance these measures, public sector structures and operating models are being reformed and new methods and forms of co-operation are being devised among the various parties involved.”
There is no reason why America cannot do the same. Except – just possibly – cultural reasons: that emphasis on individualism and hatred of “socialism” might prevent the reenergizing of small town America.
Posted by Theo Magyar http://connexionsandcontradictions.blogspot.com/ on September 22, 2009 at 8:29 AM
The Amazing Jim 6
I like to read things other people wrote and state them as my own opinions, too!
Posted by The Amazing Jim http://www.facebook.com/home.php?#/profile.php?id=100000076496291&ref=profile on September 22, 2009 at 8:41 AM
7
@6 -- Starting a blog entry with a linked "This article" is a strange way to try to pass of someone else's ideas as your own opinions.
Posted by alan on September 22, 2009 at 8:54 AM
raindrop 8
So what happens when resistance grows within these urbanized rural formerly-GOP Democrats to the excesses and intrusion of government? Ann Raynd will never die Charles, and you keep forgetting that.
Posted by raindrop on September 22, 2009 at 8:58 AM
Vince 9
I saw a PBS show about Cuba where the people had started a bottom up agricultural revolution in sustainable organic farming. They have stopped the chemicals and turned to composting and farming plots with oxen. It was out of the fact that the USSR had collapsed and the fuel they needed had dried up. The result of all this was an increase in both farming profit and quality of food. We could do the same thing here. That is if we can dislodge some of our dependence on corporate agri-business. It would revitalize many small towns and bring back young people with an interest in eco-friendly sustainability and farming.
Posted by Vince on September 22, 2009 at 9:03 AM
raindrop 10
Opps, it's Ayn Rand. Normally I don't usually correct typos with another post - but to avoid being flamed by Keshmeshi I will.
Posted by raindrop on September 22, 2009 at 9:03 AM
Matt from Denver 11
@ 10, however you spell it, she was a fool and so are all her followers.
Posted by Matt from Denver on September 22, 2009 at 9:07 AM
gloomy gus 12
As Capitol Hill born and raised, my experience is mostly sucking a lot of small-town-refugee dick over the years (nothing tastes quite like a newcomer). So it's nice to read that little towns didn't have to be such hellholes, and could improve if we made some policy shifts.

We won't do it, of course. But it's healthier to think of small towns as products of systemic indifference rather than Stephen Kingian loci of evil.
Posted by gloomy gus on September 22, 2009 at 9:09 AM
Baconcat 13
@10: Your posts are like a rolling blackout of increasingly more inane and unintelligible replies.

You're like a power grid of stupid.
Posted by Baconcat on September 22, 2009 at 9:11 AM
Max Solomon 14
another solution, at least for the emptying high plains from eastern montana to the llano estacado in tejas and nuevo mexico: BRING THE BUFFALO HERDS BACK.

The Buffalo Commons is a conceptual proposal to create a vast nature preserve by returning 139,000 square miles (360,000 km2) of the drier portion of the Great Plains to native prairie, and by reintroducing the buffalo, or American Bison that once grazed the shortgrass prairie. The proposal would affect ten Western U.S. states.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buffalo_Com…
Posted by Max Solomon on September 22, 2009 at 9:15 AM
lark 15
Good Morning Charles,
I categorically disagree with you and the snippets you provide.

First of all, that the populations are relocating to the urban sector is a worldwide phenomenon. While in Sao Paulo, Brazil (2007), I read that for the 1st time in human history the majority of the world population has shifted from the rural sector to the urban sprouting such megalopolises as Sao Paulo, Cairo, Mexico City, Lagos and Shanghai. It is not uniquely American at all.

Second, while people may be moving to the city, it will be a long gradual process. I agree the family farm is doomed but I believe population parity will be reached soon and smaller "cities" will become more appealing and vibrant like Columbus, Indiana (It has some cool architecture). In the meantime, rural people tend to reproduce more than urban. It has been disproportionate for awhile. Conservative voters tend to have more babies than liberal ones. And, while that may change over time that isn't the case now.

America does a far better job of educating immigrants (and they adapting to us) than Britain, France, the Netherlands, Denmark and other European nations. I don't doubt there are problems but we deserve credit for making these recent arrivals Americans. We simply don't have as many immigrant "ghetto" enclaves that foster radical Islam as in Europe.

Finally, the GOP isn't in "twilight" at all. The US has been a two party country since roughly 1856. That will hardly change:

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/…

and

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/19/us/pol…

My point isn't that the GOP will recapture the House in 10' (they won't but they will make in roads) but that it remains a very viable party. It also helps explain why the Obama Admin. is actively interfering in state races. The WH essentially asked Dem. Gov. Paterson of NY not to run because he is so unpopular.

For the record, I believe we are a far more tolerant nation than many on the left would have us believe. So, no the GOP isn't twilight at all. And, these shifts are welcome and natural.
More...
Posted by lark on September 22, 2009 at 9:20 AM
Max Solomon 16
also, if you want to see the 2nd snippet in action, stop in Othello next time you're on your way to Pullman or Potholes Resevoir. the town looks about 2/3 hispanic now, and every store & restaurant is mexican. the nice folks at the grocery deli didn't know what swiss cheese was. but the salsa was phenomenal.
Posted by Max Solomon on September 22, 2009 at 9:26 AM
17
Holy Shit! Charles finally posted something that makes sense and is actually interesting.
Posted by Tom on September 22, 2009 at 9:29 AM
Urgutha Forka 18
I agree with Cato and Baconcat @2 & 3...

I'll be happier when they're dead and gone.

Good riddance
Posted by Urgutha Forka on September 22, 2009 at 9:46 AM
Irena 19
Thank you, Charles, for clarifying this article so well, and for your optimism, which is essential. Theo Magyar @5 and a few others on this thread have the right attitude, in fact the only attitude that has ever gotten anything done. The only good reason to write "this will never work" is to preface ideas about what will work.

I am finally starting to realize that Americans are possibly even more complacent than Canadians. American achievement seems to come despite the dominant American mindset, not because of it.
Posted by Irena on September 22, 2009 at 9:52 AM
20
"There is no reason why America cannot do the same. Except – just possibly – cultural reasons: that emphasis on individualism and hatred of “socialism” might prevent the reenergizing of small town America."

But that's exactly the problem. Until the patient is willing to see the doctor, it's only getting worse. And too many American small towns are dominated by people too bitter and stubborn to do what saving their communities would require.
Posted by what can you do? on September 22, 2009 at 10:01 AM
Will in Seattle 21
This article is why my SLOG Bio shows me as choosing Charles Mudede over Dan Savage.

Not because Dan can't write good.

But because Charles can make the ink bleed into your soul.

Or electrons ... whatever.
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on September 22, 2009 at 10:27 AM
22
@8,

Ayn Rand loathed the shlubby no-names who live in rural areas. Have you actually read anything she wrote?
Posted by keshmeshi on September 22, 2009 at 10:39 AM
TVDinner 23
I know the Tri-Cities don't really count as small towns, but there has been phenomenal growth down there in the last 15 years, and it's the growth describe in one of the quoted paragraphs: among the sea of Mexican and Central American immigrants working in agriculture, there are also a fair number of Asian immigrants with PhDs in the sciences working for Hanford. It's a fascinating mix, and they have some kickass taco trucks.
Posted by TVDinner http:// on September 22, 2009 at 10:49 AM
raindrop 24
@22: Atlas Shrugged, DEAR! Read it!
Posted by raindrop on September 22, 2009 at 11:04 AM
Will in Seattle 25
@23 - I agree, Tri-Cities is glowing.

Um ... growing.

OK, one of the two. Or both.

Never ever read Atlas Shrugged, it will rot your soul.
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on September 22, 2009 at 11:32 AM
26
@24: I once heard a funny story about someone from a country where electricity was a rarity and belief in magic was commonplace coming to America for the first time and going to a grocery store. When the automatic door slid open for him he was amazed and said "Look what a powerful sorceror I am! The doors here open for me because I command such magic!"

The Libertarian's sense of autonomy and specialness is exactly like this man's "magic."

Just because Libertarians are too dumb to see the many ways they rely on the labor and goodwill of others for their livelihood doesn't mean they are they self-made Gods Among Men they imagine themselves to be.
Posted by Proteus on September 22, 2009 at 12:29 PM
27
You know, this is exactly the kind of elitist snobbery that the GOP claims is characteristic of liberals. As if adopting progressive values is all that's necessary to reverse a trend as powerful as urban migration. Young professionals are leaving rural areas because they're boring and there is no opportunity for career advancement.
Posted by Brandon J. on September 22, 2009 at 12:31 PM
Ride That Bullet Train To Vegas 28
Unfortunately the article's claims about why people are leaving the small towns are off. Some of the commenters had the right idea. While lack of jobs is part of it, with many people (including myself) we left smaller towns and cities because there's nothing going on there. It's about boredom. There are few chances for socialization or entertainment of the types I prefer and if your political persuasion isn't conservative, well, good luck.
Posted by Ride That Bullet Train To Vegas http://welcometoflavorcountry.wordpress.com on September 22, 2009 at 1:36 PM

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