A new poll out this morning from the University of Washington confirms what Dow Constantine's campaign has been saying: the results in the race for King County executive have flipped, with Constantine now beating Hutchison 47 to 34 among likely voters.

The key finding: when this poll is compared with the Oct. 13 SurveyUSA poll, Constantine's support appears to be rising among Democrats.

This suggests that the Constantine campaign's relentless recitation of three areas in which Hutchison fails to be what the county wants—she's anti-choice, bad on the environment, and has zero political experience—is working. Democrats who may have been confused by this becoming a "non-partisan" race this year, or who may have been flirting with the idea of backing a conservative who seemed like a nice person when she was on television, are coming home.

Other findings from the new poll:

Seattle mayor's race: Mallahan 44, McGinn 36 among likely voters.

R-71: "Yes" 57, "No" 38 among likely voters.

I-1033: "Yes" 40, "No" 49 among likely voters.

In other words, if this poll is correct, and if the election were held today: Constantine wins the exec's seat, Mallahan is our new mayor, R-71 passes by a wide margin, and I-1033 goes down in flames.

UPDATE:

And, a key finding from the polling in the Seattle mayor's race: McGinn's change of position on the tunnel hurt him.

Instead of grabbing a bunch of voters who were ready to like him but for his tunnel position, he lost six points.