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Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Cum on Feel the Illinoize: Live-Slogging the Illinois Republican Primaries

Posted by on Tue, Mar 20, 2012 at 5:36 PM

Absolutely Nothing Has Changed

7:30 PM: And that's it. Awesome Slog commenter passionate jus points out that President Obama beat all the Republican candidates combined in the Cook County suburbs in this primary, and he beat them all by a five-to-one margin in the Chicago city limits. In addition, passionate jus points out that Republican turnout is down from 2008, and Romney won by less than McCain in 2008. It looks like Romney's win over Santorum is somewhere in the low double digits. Rick Santorum is vowing to press on. Newt Gingrich, hilariously, is refusing to drop out. Ron Paul still exists. The next state is Louisiana, where Santorum is currently up by double digits. Absolutely nothing has changed. See you Saturday!

Haw Haw Haw Haw Haw

6:58 PM: With 61% of the polls reporting, Ron Paul is ahead of Newt Gingrich, 9.1% to 7.7%. I hope Newt Gingrich is crying like a newborn baby right now.


Live-Slogging the Rick Santorum Address, in Gettysburg

Starting at 6:07 PM: Surprise! Even though it was announced that Romney would be speaking at 6 PM Seattle time, it looks as though Santorum is going to give his speech first. (The Romney party is still mostly empty, whereas Santorum, who is speaking in Gettysburg, PA, might have to give a second speech to the couple thousand people waiting for him outside the ballroom in which he's speaking tonight. That's the home field advantage, which is, I think, a sports reference.) Now it is all pale, inbred-looking people milling around on the CNN livestream, waiting for something to start. Get a load of that banner, though: "FREEDOM," with a screaming Santorum Eagle flying through the O. Makes you proud to be an American.

Okay. Romney's speech just happened, so the Santorum speech is probably about to happen. A talk radio host is leading the crowd in cheers of "We want Rick! We want Rick!" Finally! "It is great to be back in Pennsylvania," Santorum says. "We have about a thousand, 1500 people who could not get in here," he boasts. His Puerto Rico tan is turning into a sickly sherbet color. "So many memories come to mind," Santorum says, "Across the street" is where Abraham Lincoln finished the Gettysburg Address. He says this is the most important election since "the election of 1860," where we decided if we wanted to be "THE United States." He says "the cause of the other maladies that we're," long pause, "feeling." The problem is, we do not have FREEDOM. "I'm proud that Governor Romney is adopting that theme," Santorum says to derisive laughs in the audience.

Santorum says "the government is trying to order us around, trampling our freedoms" by "creating a dependency" on government. "After Obamacare is implemented, every single American will be dependent on the government," Santorum continues. "We don't need a manager," we need someone who can "pull up" problems "by the roots." He says, "it's great to have Wall Street experience. I don't have Wall Street experience." That'll make a great soundbite, Rick. "I see people. People in work clothes. Folks with children who are maybe not getting the educational opportunities they hoped for so they could climb the ladder of success." Like homeschooling? He says he has "a long track record of deep convictions" who you can trust. He points out that he doesn't "happen to have a teleprompter tonight," and the crowd applauds. I still can't fucking believe that's a talking point that works, by the way. "Your control" over your own health care is what's most important, he says. The room boos global warming, too. It's like a Santorum rally broke out at a Mensa meeting. Pennsylvania, you're beautiful tonight. "Just like in health care, Governor Romney and Speaker Gingrich went along for the ride," Santorum says, and they said global warming was real. He's never said global warming was real, which makes him the better candidate. Naturally.

At Gettysburg, people fought for "big things," Santorum says. No, at Gettysburg, they fought for Reagan's "shining city on the hill." Um, was Rick Santorum home-schooled? He says his voters "know in their gut" that "big things are adrift and" long pause "at stake in this election." He wants his followers "to saddle up like Reagan did in those cowboy movies." "We're gonna pick up a whole boatload of delegates" in Louisiana and Pennsylvania, "and close this gap and then on to victory," Santorum says. And that's it. Wow. This calls for a Slog poll, I think.

Oh, for Fuck's Sake: Now Romney's Talking First, and I'm Live-Slogging It

Starting at 6:15 PM: Jesus Fucking Christ. It's time to play the who's-got-the-biggest peepee between Romney and Santorum, and I guess Romney wins this round: He's speaking first tonight. Right now, Ann Romney is thanking a long list of Friends of Romney. And here's the Mitt of the hour! "So many great friends in this room and across Illinois," Mitt says. He congratulates his "fellow candidates," which I expect to be the only time he mentions them tonight. "The America we love was in trouble and adrift" thanks to "weak leadership" from Barack Obama," Mitt says, that has consisted of "Too many apologies and not enough jobs." "Enough. We have had enough," Mitt says. A woman in the audience erupted into something like an orgasmic choke when MItt said "enough" the first time, before the audience applause covered it up. The crowd booed Romney's mention of "Professor Barack Obama," who gave a speech—get this—on "economic freedom." That Marxist! How dare he lead the stock market to record heights!

Turns out, Romney "lived and breathed" business in the private sector. "You can't learn that teaching constitutional law at the University of Chicago. You can't even learn that as a community organizer." Big laughs, a lá Sarah Palin. The economy, Romney says, "is fueled by freedom." He accuses Obama of "an all-out assault on our freedom." He says the recovery has not met our expectations. Now he's reading one of Barack Obama's speeches, where he says "We're Thomas Edison, we're the Wright Brothers...we're Bill Gates, we're still jobs—wait, I missed that, we're Steve Jobs." The problem is, Romney says, is "he's still Barack Obama," and Obama would have stopped the Wright brothers from flying due to their "dust pollution." Romney says inventors aren't doing their jobs because they see "government standing in the way."

This seems to be a new stump speech, slightly adjusted to account for the recovery by amping up the Libertarianism a bit. "Day by day, job-killing regulation by job-killing regulation," Romney says, the Obama administration is killing America and he's going to "make sure it ends." He says the proof of Obama's failure is "how tepid this recovery is." Romney says he stands for "free markets and free people." "Tonight was a primary, but November will be the stu-ha-uh, the general election, uh..." Romney seems to be stumbling over the new bits of this speech. "I see an America where the values we pass on to our children are greater than the debts we leave them," he says. "I see an amehhh...I see an America that is humbled, uh, excuse me, that is humble but is never humbled." Today is the first step, Romney says, and tomorrow is another. "Join us," he says, and it's on to that fucking Kid Rock song. And that's it. That was not an inspiring speech the way it was delivered, although once he polishes it up, it should become a strong red meat-fest to throw to friendly audiences. It's worth noting that Romney didn't make any suggestions that his opponents back out. As a Republican blue-blood, it's important to him that he not look too imperious when it comes to seizing control of the party like it's owed to him. So, it's steady as she goes, which could be the name of the Mitt Romney biopic.


I Can't Believe This Doesn't Exist Already

6:07 PM: Superstar Slog commenter Gern Blanston writes in the comments to this post:

Somebody needs to Photoshop Rick Santorum as Mel Gibson in Braveheart.

I just did a quick Google search, and I'm so disappointed in the human race that nobody has done this, already.

Romney Isn't Running His Campaign the Way He Says He'd Run This Country

5:46 PM: Right after the news of Fox News calling it for Romney, the Romney campaign released their financial information. The campaign ended February with about $7.2 million onhand, which is pretty solid. In March, the Romney campaign spent more than they brought in, with $11.9 million in and $12.3 million out. Romney is expected to speak in about fifteen minutes, with Santorum probably giving his big Gettysburg Address soon after. No speeches are expected from Newt Gingrich and/or Ron Paul.

Fox News Calls it for Romney

5:35 PM: Fox News is projecting Mitt Romney to win Illinois. Having fastidiously gone over the totals, The Stranger is forced to grudgingly agree with Fox News in this one case. Romney will win.

Santorum Wins with Non-Snobs

5:32 PM: The Huffington Post says:

Rick Santorum won in Illinois Tuesday among voters who never attended college, the only education level he won from Mitt Romney, according to exit polls.

Santorum is also still losing Catholics big-time to Romney, which has to sting.

The Odds Are in Romney's Favor

5:09 PM: The polls have closed in Illinois and nobody's calling it for Romney, but CNN's exit polls are showing "Romney with 45%, Santorum with 35%, Gingrich 12%, Paul 8%." In the meantime, Santorum has a 13-point lead in Saturday's Louisiana contest, according to the newest polls. Even if Romney wins tonight in a blow-out, this isn't over yet. (Perhaps the most alarming news of the night is this bit of information from exit polls that say Santorum isn't conservative enough for 15% of Republican voters.)

Let's Play Compare-the-Speeches

5:01 PM: As I mentioned below, Rick Santorum is speaking from Gettysburg, Pennsylvania tonight. He is obviously trying to draw parallels between himself and that other great American orator, Abraham Lincoln. The media tomorrow will spend a lot of time comparing Santorum's speech with the Gettysburg Address, so let's take a moment to refresh our memories on what Santorum is competing with:

I hear tell that Santorum will be speaking in front of a huge banner that reads "FREEDOM." This means he will probably continue his idiotic messaging that Mitt Romney is an enemy of "Reagan freedom." This is probably because Rick Santorum wouldn't know a smart campaign message if it leaked out of his own anus.

It's Pronounced "Ill-in-wah," Motherfucker

4:55 PM: Welcome to my nightmare: A midwestern primary with Mitt Romney favored to win by double-digits. This could be the most boring primary night yet, folks! Or santorum could fall out of Santorum as Santorum delivers the Gettysburg Address, Part II: The Santoruming. Either way: Stay tuned! We'll be refreshing newer posts on the top, in chronological order.

(This post's title, obviously, is an homage to/outright theft from Sufjan Stevens.)

 

Comments (24) RSS

Oldest First Unregistered On Registered On Add a comment
Posted by Justin on March 20, 2012 at 5:23 PM
Will in Seattle 2
can't we just switch the channel and watch CBC 22 Minutes instead?
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on March 20, 2012 at 5:42 PM
Gern Blanston 3
CNN just called it for Romney as well. That's just as well. Rick Santorum does not care about primary results. He only cares about FREEDOM!
Posted by Gern Blanston on March 20, 2012 at 5:43 PM
Will in Seattle 4
also, note today's Times article that the caucus here in WA is changing results - 2 LDs are now 100 percent Paul that didn't start that way. Wait until all the oversized ballots are "counted".
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on March 20, 2012 at 5:43 PM
Paul Constant 5
@Will: Is 22 Minutes like 60 Minutes for Canadians with ADD?

@Gern: Did you know that FREEDOM! is the single most important issue among voters who care most about FREEDOM!?
Posted by Paul Constant http://https://twitter.com/paulconstant on March 20, 2012 at 5:51 PM
Paul Constant 6
@Justin: I pretty much really only like him when he does his state concept albums. Why doesn't he do more of those?
Posted by Paul Constant http://https://twitter.com/paulconstant on March 20, 2012 at 5:53 PM
mike in oly 7
I grew up 40 miles south of Springfield, IL, in the middle of the corn. It is pronounced Ill-inoy. Only the French pronounce it Ill-in-wah.
Posted by mike in oly http://enotaipes.blogspot.com/ on March 20, 2012 at 6:02 PM
Keister Button 8
Talking with Americans - intellectual equivalent of GOP debates, courtesy of "This Hour Has 22 Minutes."
Posted by Keister Button on March 20, 2012 at 6:07 PM
Gern Blanston 9
Somebody needs to Photoshop Rick Santorum as Mel Gibson in Braveheart.
Posted by Gern Blanston on March 20, 2012 at 6:07 PM
Paul Constant 10
Mike @7: You can pick: Either I'm joking, or I'm half French Canadian. Or both!
Posted by Paul Constant http://https://twitter.com/paulconstant on March 20, 2012 at 6:09 PM
11
He looks irrationally pissed half the time. And he needs some sleep.

He's using note cards too.

Posted by Bhamjason on March 20, 2012 at 6:28 PM
passionate_jus 12
Fun fact:

In Cook County, Obama beat all of the Republican candidates COMBINED.

http://electionnight.cookcountyclerk.com…

Not that that isn't a surprise, but it still makes me laugh.
Posted by passionate_jus on March 20, 2012 at 7:04 PM
passionate_jus 13
Oh, and that was for suburban Cook County. The city of Chicago has it's own board of election, where Obama received more than 5 times the Republicans combined.

http://www.chicagoelections.com/index.ph…
Posted by passionate_jus on March 20, 2012 at 7:14 PM
passionate_jus 14
Looks like turnout is down from 2008 and Romney's winning percentage and number of votes is less than McCain's.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illinois_Re…
Posted by passionate_jus on March 20, 2012 at 7:27 PM
15
@Paul: I know! I was really looking forward to his 50 state project. Oh well, his latest album is still great, even if it's a huge departure from Illinoise.
Posted by Justin on March 20, 2012 at 7:34 PM
Paul Constant 16
@Justin: I'll check the new one out. I like it a lot when he's focused. Thanks for the tip.

@passionate jus: You are awesome.
Posted by Paul Constant http://https://twitter.com/paulconstant on March 20, 2012 at 7:40 PM
Cracker Jack 17
This was the first time me & Mrs. Jack have watched Santorum speak for any length of time. We were astounded by his herky-jerky cadence. When Mrs. Jack mentioned this, I told her about his belief that Telepromters are tools of Satan and just as she said "really!?!" he dropped his Teleprompter line.

What a maroon.
Posted by Cracker Jack on March 20, 2012 at 8:01 PM
18
Another deep thought: While Romney won Illinois (as I predicted here: http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/…) he has won only one or two states with more than 50% of the vote. The motherfucker keeps winning pluralities, but more R's vote AGAINST than FOR him (sorry for the caps, but I'm slightly buzzed, long day of travel). This does not bode well for the enthusiasm gap that supposedly favored the R's in the fall.
Posted by Chicago Fan on March 20, 2012 at 8:21 PM
19
For fuck's sake. Who voted against Abraham Lincoln???
Posted by Nitidiuscula on March 20, 2012 at 8:32 PM
COMTE 20
So, Santorum believes people should be able to make their own choices about health care, eh? Wish he was going to be around long enough to see what kind of fun the Dem-supported Super PAC's would have with that line.
Posted by COMTE http://www.chriscomte.com on March 20, 2012 at 9:48 PM
Supreme Ruler Of The Universe 21
#18

Yes, I noticed that too -- ~Romney is still the majority candidate meaning that he still needs his "wingmen" to peel off the less attractive troglodyte voters who are nesting in the Republican Party.

The better news is that when Romney wins he won't be beholden to them at all and he can do a hard turn to the middle which is natural cruising lane.
Posted by Supreme Ruler Of The Universe http://www.you-read-it-here-first.com on March 20, 2012 at 10:27 PM
Reverse Polarity 22
Newt is the walking dead. He's a zombie and he just doesn't know it. But he's bitter enough and egotistical enough to stay in, no matter how bad his numbers, as long as he has a sugar daddy to pay for a few more ads.

God, I love this primary.
Posted by Reverse Polarity on March 20, 2012 at 10:27 PM
rowan redwing 23
How the fork can people take Santorum seriously? He was voted out of office in his own state!
Posted by rowan redwing on March 20, 2012 at 10:38 PM
passionate_jus 24
@ 21

Romney cannot do a "hard turn to the middle" as you say, for several reasons.

First, it's hard to get for any politician to get away with that these days. Maybe ten years ago but not today when every body has a camera and video recorder in their phone. No longer can a politician tell one audience one thing and then another audience something completely different later on.

And for Romney it's even worse -- one of his major weaknesses is being known as a flip flopper. Also, he has never excited his party's conservative base. He can't run as a moderate in a few months -- if he does that he risks having a large segment of his party sit out this election.

The die has been cast. Even if the American public, with its short attention span, soon forgets his crazy talk, the Obama super pac will remind voters of all the crap he's said.

No, Romney will be running on a platform of less taxes for the rich, ending Planned Parenthood, let the US auto industry die, etc etc.

Romney is the weakest candidate since Dukakis. In fact, he's worse than Dukakis.
Posted by passionate_jus on March 21, 2012 at 3:40 AM

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