East - Obama +4 Midwest - Obama +4 South - Obama -22 West - Obama +6
Personally, I hope Romney wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college, because that's the only way we'll ever do away with the fucker. When it happened to Al Gore in 2000, it was wisdom of the founders and all that. But should it happen to a Republican, no doubt they'll go completely apeshit over some Kenyan Socialist Islamic conspiracy or something.
Make it a direct popular vote and presidential candidates will finally start paying attention to voters in the entire country instead of a handful of swing states. What could be so bad about that?