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Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Gay Marriage Passing, but Not by Much

Posted by on Tue, Nov 6, 2012 at 10:12 PM

Referendum 74 was passing with nearly 52 percent of the vote on election night, and as marriage equality campaign manager Zach Silk put it, "last time I checked, that's winning."

Still, leading advocates of marriage equality were being cautious. "Returns aren't finished," said state senator Ed Murray (D-43). "But we have a lot to celebrate tonight." Murray deliberately stopped short of declaring victory, but he told a cheering crowd at the Westin Hotel: "You have sent a message of hope across this state."

Murray's legislative colleague, state representative Jamie Pedersen (D-43), was similarly noncommittal. "The next generation of kids is going to grow up knowing they have the full support of their government," he said, without saying that this full support had now arrived in Washington State.

The holdup was King County, which still had tons of ballots to count. Still, with 65 percent of King County voters approving R-74 in the initial count, and that trend likely to continue through the full count, seasoned political watchers were predicting victory. "Fifty-two percent, with King County what it is—it's still time to call Washington State for marriage equality," said Governor Chris Gregoire.

Similarly, Matt Barreto, who runs the Washington Poll, projected that R-74 would be approved and added that he expected Jay Inslee to be the next governor. "King County delivered both," Barreto said.

Gregoire, who had a late-career conversion on marriage equality, called her daughters up to the podium at the Westin and thanked them for changing her mind. "They told me, 'This is the civil rights issue of this generation,'" Gregoire said. "They're right."


Comments (10) RSS

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balderdash 1
I find it really weird and sad how many people apparently voted FOR pot but AGAINST marriage equality. What the fuck, libertarians? What is your goddamn stupid-assed bigoted deal?

But still, passing is passing and it's still a damn sight better than having to have a court mandate it!
Posted by balderdash on November 6, 2012 at 10:34 PM · Report this
Matt from Denver 2
@ 1, keep in mind that rednecks like pot.

Anyway, a 51-49 victory is equal to an 80-20 victory. Don't sweat it too much.
Posted by Matt from Denver on November 6, 2012 at 10:37 PM · Report this
@2: Matt, spot on re rednecks and pot.
Posted by gnossos on November 6, 2012 at 11:42 PM · Report this
seatackled 4
Let the rednecks switch to meth.
Posted by seatackled on November 7, 2012 at 12:37 AM · Report this
@1 "But still, passing is passing and it's still a damn sight better than having to have a court mandate it!"

For once, I disagree with your comments. Far better, I think, that a court (preferably the Supremes) affirms marriage equality. A constitutional right is a constitutional right, and should not be subject to a popular vote.
Posted by cheakamus on November 7, 2012 at 2:11 AM · Report this
Rob in Baltimore 6
Marriage Equality passed here in Maryland, Maine, and Minnesotans rejected a proposed constitution ban. Suck it Maggie Gallagher!…
Posted by Rob in Baltimore on November 7, 2012 at 4:05 AM · Report this
At the NO on 1240 campaign, we remain cautiously optimistic. We won in King County and the remaining votes from there (and elsewhere north) just might push us over the top. We are almost the exact reverse of the numbers for R 74.

We're counting on you, King County!

And thank you, thank you to The Stranger and The Slog for their support and smart thinking on charter schools!
Posted by westello on November 7, 2012 at 7:45 AM · Report this
Also to add, the charter supporters say charter schools ARE the "civil rights issue" of today so there is some argument over which it is.

I think marriage for all is more a civil right than charter schools.
Posted by westello on November 7, 2012 at 7:46 AM · Report this
Ph'nglui mglw'nafh Cthulhu R'lyeh wgah'nagl fhtagn 9
You guys are going to need to admit how wrong you were. All your Bradley Effect handwringing and elaborate theories for why the poll were wrong. Remember?

The polls said 52 percent to 46 percent favoring Approve R-74. What we got was 52/48. Pretty much nailed it.

The score is data 1, your gut feeling, 0. Especially if you're going to jump on the Nate Silver bandwagon now and try to pretend you were with his fact-based approach all along. The truth is, you were no smarter than "Unskewed Polls".
Posted by Ph'nglui mglw'nafh Cthulhu R'lyeh wgah'nagl fhtagn on November 7, 2012 at 9:16 AM · Report this
rara avis 10
@2 Sadly, I think the black vote is more responsible for the pot/gay marriage gap than rednecks.
Posted by rara avis on November 7, 2012 at 11:28 AM · Report this

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