There is a 2% spread between Rossi and Reichert, and the margin of error is 4%. There is a 1% difference in how well Murray does against them, and the margin of error is 4%.
@5 Please. We have a CPVI of D+3, Reichert's looks, bearing, former profession and incumbency help keep him in place. Rossi, while represented well by yard signs, would have trouble getting elected, if he deigned to step down from the state level for the job.
Murray delivers for the state. Even 'baggers in Republic and Raymond recognize that. She's not a rich fuck, and she'll be in office till she decides she's done.
Here's a delicious scenario: Both Rossi and Reichert jump at the chance and run against each other in a GOP Senate primary. This opens up the 8th district seat. Rossi beats Reichert in the primary, then goes on to lose to Murray (or the other way around, doesn't matter). Meanwhile, DelBene (moderate Democratic, backed by Microsoft money) beats some sacrificial Republican in the 8th.
So we go into 2012 with 7 of 9 seats in the state held by Democrats, and a nice new (probably competitive) 10th district just waiting for Obama's reelection coattails. And that nitwit McKenna running for Governor against Inslee. It would be the final end of the GOP in Western Washington.
Also, to make the 10th competitive, the redistricting commission might have to include a chunk of conservative Eastern Washington (or swap that chunk for another Western WA district in exchange for a conservative-ish chunk wherever the new district goes in.) That means the remaining Eastern Washington districts will get comparatively less Republican, possibly enabling Democrats to become competitive again in the 5th (the Spokane/Tom Foley district.)
So was this an old fogie landline poll?
I'm wondering, though, how does Murray vs. McKenna match up? How about McKenna vs. Gregoire? I'm just curious.
Cantwell, though?
Maybe not...
So we go into 2012 with 7 of 9 seats in the state held by Democrats, and a nice new (probably competitive) 10th district just waiting for Obama's reelection coattails. And that nitwit McKenna running for Governor against Inslee. It would be the final end of the GOP in Western Washington.
Also, to make the 10th competitive, the redistricting commission might have to include a chunk of conservative Eastern Washington (or swap that chunk for another Western WA district in exchange for a conservative-ish chunk wherever the new district goes in.) That means the remaining Eastern Washington districts will get comparatively less Republican, possibly enabling Democrats to become competitive again in the 5th (the Spokane/Tom Foley district.)