Ah, results of consta-polling on every goddam thing goes with a Monday like cheese with chalk.

Important correction: It's 1098 now, not 1077. It was refiled to include domestic partners.

My experience at the Ballard Market yesterday is that people are ready to redress the regressiveness of WA's tax structure. Almost everybody who stopped to hear the pitch signed.

http://yeson1098.com/

@2: Thanks, fixed.

It's good to know the "undecideds" haven't changed much. I hate people who poll undecided or click "I'm not sure" for online polls. Fuckin morons.

Support for marriage equality went down 2 points and up 6, love it.

THIS IS RELEVANT TO MY INTERESTS.

In the end, both the Income Tax on the Rich and the Legalize MJ initiatives will pass overwhelmingly.

The resultant turnout of Democrats and Independents will destroy the Whig Party (RNC/GOP) and replace it with a combined Libertarian/Tea Party coalition as the opposition. This will allow for a resurgence of the Green Party in 2012.

@ 11 - a resurgence?

Your understanding of MoE is a little off. It's plus-minus both statistics, so the margin MoE is twice the MoE. Murray ain't out of the woods at all.

@12 - yes. But they'll mostly fail to win seats. Not that they won't try.

Well done for posting some of the "methodological details"; iit's probably all you were given

Here's a tedious fun-fact: to get from "1,252 ... interviewed" to "2.8% margin of error" you take the square root of the first number and calculate its reciprocal. This is only remotely valid only if that sample was truly random. We are therefore to accept that "The survey was administered by telephone" was truly random given the nigh inescapable systematic errors of doing telephone surveys these days.

That is, this poll is inaccurate. And I would guess, but have no data, that it is skewed dramatically toward older, more conservative, registered voters.

It's as if we learned nothing at all from "Dewey Wins!!" -sigh-

@15 shh, don't scare the kidlings. They don't like 'facts'.