@2: Too hard to poll with three people and unlimited point spread possibilities. However! Your comments, as you well know, are totally legally binding and scientifically accurate.
Despite Didier's HUGE signs all over the fucking state, I still don't think he'll break 15%. Probably closer to 10%.
Rossi will get nowhere near 45%. He should count his blessings if he does any better than 35%.
Murray is hard to guess. There are no viable contenders for the Democratic party, and voter apathy in primaries is high, more so among liberals than conservatives. And since her standing seems safe, there may be lots of people switching over and fucking with the Republicans. Her numbers may be low due largely to lack of interest.
Murray's total will be low due to lack of Dem contenders (many voters will treat the primary as uncontested and not bother...or choose to crossover and pick Didier). Rossi's total will be lower than it could be because his base isn't enthused either. The really excited ones are the Birther/TeaBag/Palin types who will vote Didier in the primary and Rossi in the general.
Murray: 45
Rossi: 33
Didier: 17
Others: 5
A warning for Murray supporters who want to crossover and vote for Didier: The main ticket is going to be Murray/Rossi. Period. And if people jump ship from Murray to Didier, this would lead to the combination of Rossi's and Didier's totals being greater than Murray's total. The resulting news stories (and the momentum) is not going to be kind to Murray. It'll mean a lot more enthusiasm on the R side and a lot more R money funneling into the race. It's not something we want.
Hee hee, I heard a radio ad tonight with Cunt Diddler teaming up with Paul Acres (?), apparently another GOP challenger for the Senate seat. The entire ad was those two chuckleheads tearing into Dino Rossi and begging for votes to unseat the awful establishmunt libruls like Dino who'd done gotten us into this awful fix. Oh, how I'll miss those roadside signs after tomorrow...
Cause Dino Rossi is a Commie.
Rossi 38
Didier 10
Other 7
Could you please give these "Democarats for Didier" a quick primer on Washington State's top-two Primary system?
There is a tipping point after which it is neither funny, nor strategic.
Rossi will get nowhere near 45%. He should count his blessings if he does any better than 35%.
Murray is hard to guess. There are no viable contenders for the Democratic party, and voter apathy in primaries is high, more so among liberals than conservatives. And since her standing seems safe, there may be lots of people switching over and fucking with the Republicans. Her numbers may be low due largely to lack of interest.
Rossi 26
Didier 20
other 7
Goodspaceguy will get like 12. And in this case, I mean votes, not percent.
Rossi 34
Didier 18
Others 5
Murray: 45
Rossi: 33
Didier: 17
Others: 5
A warning for Murray supporters who want to crossover and vote for Didier: The main ticket is going to be Murray/Rossi. Period. And if people jump ship from Murray to Didier, this would lead to the combination of Rossi's and Didier's totals being greater than Murray's total. The resulting news stories (and the momentum) is not going to be kind to Murray. It'll mean a lot more enthusiasm on the R side and a lot more R money funneling into the race. It's not something we want.
AP just released partial results here with less than 23 hours to go. Seems that Progressive voters are turning out after all.
http://www.lehighvalleylive.com/newsflas…
rossi 31
diddler 14
others 5
Rossi 36.9
Didier 9.1
Others 7.7
Murray - 50% (break by ~1,500 votes)
Rossi: - 28% (break by ~800 votes)
Didier 13% (break by 0 to 100 votes)
Others - 9% (no break, multiple candidates)
Rossi 27
Didier 17
Others 100 minus 43+27+17
Rossi 39
Didier 7
Other 5
Rossi 41
Didier 12
Other 3
Rossi 34
Didier 12
Akers 3
Others 5
Murray: 44
Rossi: 34
Diddler: 12
Nobody gives a fuck about the rest.
Mitch and Murray 33
Anne Murray 8
Murray Slaughter 7
Murray the K 3
Rossi 3
Didier 1
Rossi 36
Didier 10
Akers 5
Others 5