Super duper, can't wait to see it reflected on the State site because even though you're looking at trends anything can and probably will happen. *fingers crossed*
Credit where it's due, Goldy: michaelp called this race first on Slog. Will be interested to see which one of you most accurately predicted the spread, though.
Okay, my final prediction isn't that far off of Goldy's - closest including going over?
On the low end, Wiggins will win with at LEAST at 10,019 vote margin, at least 50.25-49.75
The more realistic scenario, however (and I have made all sorts of updates to my model to get to this) - Wiggins wins with approximately 12,012 more votes that "Justice" Sanders, 50.31-49.69.
And I still stand by my Murray winning with 52.4% when all is said and done, although it looks like that may have been a low guess.
Now we go after Alexander’s seat to get a good hard progressive in there...shit I would be happy with someone NOT a bigot!
And it's on! After today's numbers drop, I'll make a final prediction, and avoid a large range!!!
On the low end, Wiggins will win with at LEAST at 10,019 vote margin, at least 50.25-49.75
The more realistic scenario, however (and I have made all sorts of updates to my model to get to this) - Wiggins wins with approximately 12,012 more votes that "Justice" Sanders, 50.31-49.69.
And I still stand by my Murray winning with 52.4% when all is said and done, although it looks like that may have been a low guess.