Huntsman will never make it out of single digits. He may draw some moderates, but he'll get get killed in the Iowa primary, and he won't win a single state in the south. His campaign is DOA.
I'm of the opinion that Huntsman is setting himself up for a run down the road.
Right now, the GOP is firmly in the grasp of the crazies. But the party can read the tea leaves. They know, for instance, what direction the country is heading on gay rights issues. Which is why you're starting to see a few Republicans break away even on the marriage issue. (And keep in mind there were a couple of fairly conservative Senators who voted to repeal DADT last December).
I think Huntsman is betting that the insane radicals (who are the ones who turn out for primaries) will get a nominee to their liking. And the party will implode in 2012. Then the party either goes completely nuts and decides that Michele Bachmann or Sarah Palin is too much of a "moderate" and a "RINO" and drives further off the cliff, or the adults wake up and take the party back and Huntsman is perfectly positioned.
The strategy works less well if someone like Pawlenty (who is, nevertheless, very bad on social issues...he's only more moderate by way of comparison) or Romney (who's been pandering like crazy to the crazies) wins the nomination. If a nominee like that loses, then the tea party crowd will still likely be in the driver's seat.
And, of course, it doesn't work at all if a Republican actually wins.
The clown drew a couple hundred people to his big announcement. Compare that to the huge crowds at the coming out parties the real wingnuts had. There are no more 'moderates' in the Republican Party, Democrats are now the moderate Republicans. As a result his fund raising will lag, he will be in the single digits as long as he can stay in.
@5--On some level, I think the best thing for both GOP and the country would be for the Republicans to nominate a complete lunatic and lose in a 1984- or 1972-scale landslide.
But I'm not willing to hope for that, simply because I'm not completely convinced a lunatic couldn't win the general election.
I looked at that candidate primer hoping to find facts, but it seems like you're just saying hateful things there about people whom I bet you've never spoken to or met. You are to be felt sorry for.
@9: Yes, that's Constant's idea of being a political pundit:
Bachmann: She's an idiot
Romney: He's an asshole
Paul: He's a nutjob
All of which is true, but adds absolutely nothing to the discussion, and makes one wonder why they let this clown write about something he clearly is ill-equipped to understand.
Of the current crop, I find Huntsman the least terrifying, other than Johnson, who doesn't have a prayer.
Right now, the GOP is firmly in the grasp of the crazies. But the party can read the tea leaves. They know, for instance, what direction the country is heading on gay rights issues. Which is why you're starting to see a few Republicans break away even on the marriage issue. (And keep in mind there were a couple of fairly conservative Senators who voted to repeal DADT last December).
I think Huntsman is betting that the insane radicals (who are the ones who turn out for primaries) will get a nominee to their liking. And the party will implode in 2012. Then the party either goes completely nuts and decides that Michele Bachmann or Sarah Palin is too much of a "moderate" and a "RINO" and drives further off the cliff, or the adults wake up and take the party back and Huntsman is perfectly positioned.
The strategy works less well if someone like Pawlenty (who is, nevertheless, very bad on social issues...he's only more moderate by way of comparison) or Romney (who's been pandering like crazy to the crazies) wins the nomination. If a nominee like that loses, then the tea party crowd will still likely be in the driver's seat.
And, of course, it doesn't work at all if a Republican actually wins.
But I'm not willing to hope for that, simply because I'm not completely convinced a lunatic couldn't win the general election.
http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archive…
Bachmann: She's an idiot
Romney: He's an asshole
Paul: He's a nutjob
All of which is true, but adds absolutely nothing to the discussion, and makes one wonder why they let this clown write about something he clearly is ill-equipped to understand.