Blogs Oct 18, 2012 at 12:37 pm

Inslee, Marriage Equality Up in New KCTS-9 Washington Poll

Goldy
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Comments

1
Well, I'm not too happy about those last two, but at least I don't have any kids of my own that'll suffer for it.
MacCrocodile on October 18, 2012 at 12:51 PM Report this
2
That poll has Obama at a lower percentage than John Kerry got in 2004, which isn't encouraging. If Obama can't pull 55% HERE, it's gonna be super tight in Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, etc.
DOUG. on October 18, 2012 at 12:53 PM Report this
3
They preemptively unskewed the results in the full results but R-74 is still ~55. More encouraging, however, is the top lines which show standard talking points on either side really only grow support for R-74, but by a smaller margin. These include the "all the same rights" and "for the kids" talking points.

www.washingtonpoll.org/results/kcts9_ful…
Baconcat on October 18, 2012 at 12:54 PM Report this
4
(Though Romney's well below the 45% that Bush got in 2004...)
DOUG. on October 18, 2012 at 12:56 PM Report this
5
@1 Those aren't good numbers for 1240. No ballot measure wants to be under 50 percent three weeks out. When in doubt, voters tend to break "No."

But yes, the 1185 results are disappointing. If somebody had a couple million dollars to spend to defeat it, we could. But barring that, I'm guessing it passes.
Goldy on October 18, 2012 at 12:59 PM Report this
6
@Doug: Obama has an advantage in Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado relative to Washington. Washington's unemployment rate is 8.6%, well above the national average. Colorado is about average, Ohio is 7.2%, and Virginia is 5.9%. The Auto bailout has helped the Ohio economy tremendously. If Ohio's unemployment was as high as Washington's, Obama would be in real trouble there. As it is, he's in good shape.
sarge on October 18, 2012 at 1:08 PM Report this
7
Didn't Paul try to terrorize everyone last night by freaking out about a single poll showing that Obama could fall to Romney in Washington State?

And yeah, charter schools are coming which is gong to suck. So if you have kids you'd better be making a shit load of money to get a decent education for your child.
Cato the Younger Younger on October 18, 2012 at 1:09 PM Report this
8
Not too happy about the last two. Here's hoping that those who answered yes were mostly in Eastern Washington.
Simone on October 18, 2012 at 1:09 PM Report this
9
Isn't this some socialist poll from some rinky dink university or something?

(ducks)
Will in Seattle on October 18, 2012 at 1:10 PM Report this
10
By the way, best advice is: Vote Early. Vote Often.

Get that ballot in NOW.
Will in Seattle on October 18, 2012 at 1:19 PM Report this
11
That undecided for charter schools is where the work needs to go. But I think Elway polling is right: support continues to drop as you get closer to Election Day for most initiatives.
westello on October 18, 2012 at 1:24 PM Report this
13
50.4% of respondents (+/-3.5%) indicated they are "certain" they will vote to Approve R-74 and will not change their minds. That's a higher number than I would have expected.
happy renter on October 18, 2012 at 2:26 PM Report this
14
@7: I didn't "terrorize" anyone. I pointed out that PPP, a Democratic-leaning polling firm, only gave Obama a 5% lead in Washington. That seemed noteworthy. But I did point out that Obama had double-digit leads in virtually every other Washington state poll.

Please don't mischaracterize me as a prophet of doom. When I get apocalyptic, you'll know.
Paul Constant on October 18, 2012 at 2:34 PM Report this
15
@10 - I haven't received my ballot yet, so how could I get it NOW?
Tawnos on October 18, 2012 at 2:38 PM Report this
16
@15 Just ignore him.
pfffter on October 18, 2012 at 2:42 PM Report this
17
I already got mine. Why u so slow, home boy?
Will in Seattle on October 18, 2012 at 2:47 PM Report this
18
KCTS asked poll questions on the intiatives and the state budget deficit, but not the AG race??
on October 18, 2012 at 3:42 PM Report this
19
Not sure why you'd post registered voter numbers, when it's likely voters that matter.

Anyway, Inslee's up 0.8% among likely voters. Game on.
nickj116 on October 18, 2012 at 6:04 PM Report this
20
Obama is only at 52% in this state? If that's accurate, then Romney is a shoo-in nationally. I'd also say marijuana and charter schools are in trouble, and so is Jay Inslee.
Mister G on October 18, 2012 at 10:37 PM Report this
21
@12

a batch?? that's gonna really screw with your week, man.
LEE. on October 18, 2012 at 11:15 PM Report this

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