scientists also "only want to destroy religion ... and faith!". i got tangled up in that one recently. there is a remarkable amount of academic hate out and about. somewhere between Fox 'news' and extremist peta members there are the sarah-palins happily texting on their cell-phones blame for everything on "the other" who studied technology.
But it's only women who are being gunned down at the highest rate, so...
Any moment now this thread will be invaded by the guy gun nuts who are willing to take their own lower odds for the extremely unlikely moment in which they could execute a stranger, or the more likely opportunity to shoot the women they profess to love.
Thanks, rob!. I feel its always best to never trust a news article about research.
I also think we should hesitate to deal in absolutes. The words 'always' and 'never' are often better replaced by 'usually' and 'rarely', or some other versions with similar meanings.
@3: Yeah, unfortunately that's pretty unfeasible. There's going to be some amount of this observed effect that is simply people buying guns because they have a reason to fear for their lives.
A proposed work-around: break the sample into three groups. Control group is people who don't have guns around them, experimental group 1 is people who have had guns around them for less than one year, experimental group 2 is people who have had guns around them for more than one year.
@4,8,
Yeah, definitely couldn't do it in the "real-world" (i.e., randomly assigning people to own guns or not). But there are some potential lab experiments that could maybe give some power to the argument.
I recall some studies I read in the past about having participants self-report aggressive feelings after walking into the lab where there's either A) a bunch of umbrellas in a corner, or B) a stack of rifles in the corner. The rifle group reported higher aggressiveness as I recall. I wish I had the article to link to but I can't remember the title or author and a google scholar search didn't turn up what I was looking for.
@8, @10: This whole area is crying out for more research. I would like to see some in-depth analysis looking at other risk factors where a person has been killed with a gun in their own home by someone known to them. Was the gun acquired by the victim or the killer? If there was a pattern of abuse present, did it start before or after the gun was acquired? Etc. etc. Surely there is enough data on these cases from police reports, etc., that something like this can be done?
@11: Given the last sentence in your post @9 I am not sure you have anything of value to contribute to a discussion on domestic violence against women.
This data is useless without a comparison with the number of times having a gun in the home prevented crimes. Of course, that data doesn't exist, because most of those incidents go unreported.
Compared with all adults without access to a gun, men with firearm access were 29% more likely to die... A woman who had a gun in or available to her household was close to three times likelier to die by homicide.
No matter how many deaths were prevented by the defensive use of a firearm, it was not sufficient to overcome the increased risk of death caused by having a gun in the home.
we decided not to include population-level data because we were concerned about ecological bias; for example, gun ownership data on a population level may not reflect the persons who actually commit suicide, so no true link between gun ownership and harms outcomes can be made.
In summary, we found the association between firearm availability and homicide to be more modest than that between firearm availability and completed suicide. Future studies of firearm access and homicide risk should focus on the role that social factors and surrounding living conditions play in homicide victimization.
Since the study doesn't break it down by make and model of the firearms, or whether the firearms have been modified in anyway, it is invalid. It is the same as a seat belt study which doesn't break down deaths by the type of mechanism used in the shoulder belt. And more children die in traffic accidents. Ladies, you are way better off with a gun in the house than living in Cuba.
Possessing a gun makes you less safe not more safe
"The evidence suggests that on average, having a gun actually increases the likelihood that a person will be injured or killed, rather than that it will be used to protect that individual from harm. If you own a gun, the most likely person you are to shoot is yourself. The next most likely person you are to shoot is a close family member. Homes with guns are a dozen times more likely to have household members or guests killed or injured by the weapon than by an intruder.The odds are much greater that the gun will be used against you or a loved one than that it will be used against an armed assailant or an intruder. Firearms are more often discharged in a homicide, suicide or an accident, than in self-defense." http://www.examiner.com/article/possessi… http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.11…
But as long as #16 and his ilk can have their little Rambo fantasies he doesn't give a shit about the lives of his family or any friend or neighbor who sets foot in his home.
And for the record I own one non functional rifle because of sentimental family value- it having belonged to my great grandfather.
Guns are a tool (not, despite lefty paranoia, a lethal killing machine that could discharge fatally anyplace, anytime) I just don't need.
Bit you know what else? Your right to be a vocal or literary add about the second amendment? Yeah, the rest of our rights are as strong as the legal force we give the right to bear arms. Think on that over your tofu sandwich on gluten free bread.
#24: Buy all the guns you want, just don't employ bullshit arguments to justify your purchasing them or to oppose reasonable public safety regulations.
I survived an actual home invasion -- using my wits alone -- over 30 years ago.
But I'm not wetting my pants three decades later, like the pissy pants gun nuts sobbing on their pillows imagining extremely unlikely home invasions.
I'm still under 5' tall, but I'd rather not endanger myself, my family, the children of my friends or neighbors -- or those who could be shot by a gun stolen from me -- for a penis substitute toy.
That's the difference between you and me: reality versus pissing your pants over imaginary boogie men.
I don't know. If enough people do though and can mount a successful campaign to alter the 2nd Amendment through constitutional process my complaint ends though.
Yes, they did not provide a link at a population level. Their study linked the risk at the individual level. And the next sentence after your bolded one:
"Despite their limitations, individual-level data, such as those we included in this study, are ideal because confounding and explanatory reasons for the relationship among firearms and suicide and homicide can be better explored."
@32- as someone who has actually been 'just missed' by an accidental discharge, and has witnessed the reality of unsecured firearms taking a young life, yes 'gun nut culture' is absolutely something that worries me
#30: Does anyone actually understand that the second amendment was not written by God and that new amendments can be added to the constitution that effectively nullify the broadest interpretation of the second? Moreover, has it occurred to you that regardless of subsequent court rulings, the intent or original interpretation of the 2nd amendment might not be what you think it is? Could it be that the amendment doesn't actually bar reasonable regulations of guns? That "well-regulated militia" makes it sound a little fuzzier and less clear cut than gun nuts would have it.
@37- I think you missed my point. Houston's high crime neighborhoods are spread out into the hinterland and not entirely included in these numbers, Chicago's high crime neighborhoods are within city boundaries. If you include the whole metro areas we level out pretty quickly.
The solution Goldy alludes to is obvious. Make sure the women know how to properly use their own guns to defend themselves from the significant other. Am I right ? http://762precision.files.wordpress.com/…
@52- It took me literally 15 seconds to pull up stats for crime reporting rates and violent crime rates for Houston and suburbs. Looks like Conroe, Missouri City, Baytown, and Humble all had very high rates, comparable to 'in-city' Houston and only slightly lower than the 3rd ward or Sunnyside, which are ranked the 15th and 6th most dangerous neighborhoods in the nation, respectively.
I wonder if they control for suicidal people deliberately buying guns, or people who want to kill their spouses buying guns. Because surely people do that. Obviously, if they've already got them in the house it saves a trip to Walmart, but people with specific violent intent against themselves or others, at the time of purchase of the weapon, must be included. I'd be more interested in the numbers of incidental deaths (kids, spouses suiciding, etc.), if somehow that could be determined.
@19: You're lying through your teeth. The paragraph you quote points out a limitation of population-level data rather than the individual-level data they actually used.
@24: Don't like gay marriage? Don't get gay married.
@56, whatever. I'll concede I was reading that too quickly.
However, a review article (labeled as such in the primary text which I'm doubtful Goldy read) combining 15 earlier data sets isn't expected to contradict all the data sets that went into it. The data used from homicide studies were from 2 studies of men and 3 studies with women..... not exactly an exhaustive data set.
I would like to see these studies discount any data involving felons and anyone who had "gun access" due to a felon who should not have a gun. I think studies that involve actual responsible gun owners would be more informative than ones that involve people that the law says shouldn't own guns.
@58: Familiarize yourself with the word "realpolitik". I'm an intellectual, a scientist rather than an engineer, but I recognize that for issues like this, we need to worry less about how things SHOULD WORK IN THEORY and more about how things ACTUALLY DO WORK.
I like voting, and choosing. I'd be happy without a second amendment though.
Download .pdf here.
Any moment now this thread will be invaded by the guy gun nuts who are willing to take their own lower odds for the extremely unlikely moment in which they could execute a stranger, or the more likely opportunity to shoot the women they profess to love.
They'll consider it a fair trade.
I also think we should hesitate to deal in absolutes. The words 'always' and 'never' are often better replaced by 'usually' and 'rarely', or some other versions with similar meanings.
A proposed work-around: break the sample into three groups. Control group is people who don't have guns around them, experimental group 1 is people who have had guns around them for less than one year, experimental group 2 is people who have had guns around them for more than one year.
Yeah, definitely couldn't do it in the "real-world" (i.e., randomly assigning people to own guns or not). But there are some potential lab experiments that could maybe give some power to the argument.
I recall some studies I read in the past about having participants self-report aggressive feelings after walking into the lab where there's either A) a bunch of umbrellas in a corner, or B) a stack of rifles in the corner. The rifle group reported higher aggressiveness as I recall. I wish I had the article to link to but I can't remember the title or author and a google scholar search didn't turn up what I was looking for.
No matter how many deaths were prevented by the defensive use of a firearm, it was not sufficient to overcome the increased risk of death caused by having a gun in the home.
FTFY
we decided not to include population-level data because we were concerned about ecological bias; for example, gun ownership data on a population level may not reflect the persons who actually commit suicide, so no true link between gun ownership and harms outcomes can be made.
In summary, we found the association between firearm availability and homicide to be more modest than that between firearm availability and completed suicide. Future studies of firearm access and homicide risk should focus on the role that social factors and surrounding living conditions play in homicide victimization.
Possessing a gun makes you less safe not more safe
"The evidence suggests that on average, having a gun actually increases the likelihood that a person will be injured or killed, rather than that it will be used to protect that individual from harm. If you own a gun, the most likely person you are to shoot is yourself. The next most likely person you are to shoot is a close family member. Homes with guns are a dozen times more likely to have household members or guests killed or injured by the weapon than by an intruder.The odds are much greater that the gun will be used against you or a loved one than that it will be used against an armed assailant or an intruder. Firearms are more often discharged in a homicide, suicide or an accident, than in self-defense."
http://www.examiner.com/article/possessi…
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.11…
But as long as #16 and his ilk can have their little Rambo fantasies he doesn't give a shit about the lives of his family or any friend or neighbor who sets foot in his home.
Oh, well than I have an easy answer to your panic attacks about accidental shootings.
Don't buy a gun, which is as surely your right as it's mine to buy one.
See how easy that is?
And for the record I own one non functional rifle because of sentimental family value- it having belonged to my great grandfather.
Guns are a tool (not, despite lefty paranoia, a lethal killing machine that could discharge fatally anyplace, anytime) I just don't need.
Bit you know what else? Your right to be a vocal or literary add about the second amendment? Yeah, the rest of our rights are as strong as the legal force we give the right to bear arms. Think on that over your tofu sandwich on gluten free bread.
But I'm not wetting my pants three decades later, like the pissy pants gun nuts sobbing on their pillows imagining extremely unlikely home invasions.
I'm still under 5' tall, but I'd rather not endanger myself, my family, the children of my friends or neighbors -- or those who could be shot by a gun stolen from me -- for a penis substitute toy.
That's the difference between you and me: reality versus pissing your pants over imaginary boogie men.
http://www.azcentral.com/community/pinal…
@26
Oppose the right of gun ownership all you want. Just don't gut the Constitution while playing your disingenuous little game.
And as Chefjoe pointed out, the study authors don't draw the conclusion Goldstein lied about them drawing.
Boogeymen like 'gun nuts' whose stray bullets have just barely missed you countless times? That kind of boogeymen?
I don't know. If enough people do though and can mount a successful campaign to alter the 2nd Amendment through constitutional process my complaint ends though.
Yes, they did not provide a link at a population level. Their study linked the risk at the individual level. And the next sentence after your bolded one:
"Despite their limitations, individual-level data, such as those we included in this study, are ideal because confounding and explanatory reasons for the relationship among firearms and suicide and homicide can be better explored."
I don't see the problem... Could you elaborate?
Not if their phallic toys are threatened, in any case.
Talk about comparing apples to hand grenades.
I mean the point of commenting is discourse not just screaming your right cause everyone else is bad.
I bet more Americans die from apple related causes than from hand grenades.
/not that it matters, but it got me curious.
For some reason, gun nuts can never make -- or understand -- analogies.
It's the "logic" part of analogy that stumps 'em.
So yeah. what were you babbling about?
@24: Don't like gay marriage? Don't get gay married.
However, a review article (labeled as such in the primary text which I'm doubtful Goldy read) combining 15 earlier data sets isn't expected to contradict all the data sets that went into it. The data used from homicide studies were from 2 studies of men and 3 studies with women..... not exactly an exhaustive data set.
I would like to see these studies discount any data involving felons and anyone who had "gun access" due to a felon who should not have a gun. I think studies that involve actual responsible gun owners would be more informative than ones that involve people that the law says shouldn't own guns.