Comments

1
I'm sorry, WTF did Murray say? Did he just try to say the future of transit in Seattle depends on the success of a car-only project?

Sounds suspiciously like the line Gregoire's, cum Inslee's, mega-projects people gave on the Columbia River Crossing boondoggle. "Vancouver [WA] won't get light rail unless we build this monstrosity."
2
It should be noted that Sound Transit has been successful at building its tunnels. It is currently working on its 3rd tunnel North gate which will be under budget and early!
3
Well this is a clumsy pander to shove transit advocates into line.

Meanwhile U-Link is early and under budget. But nice try, Ed.
4
I think he may be referring to an idea that is gaining steam in the transit community called the West Side Transit Tunnel. A new tunnel would be needed for Ballard to West Seattle light rail to be built. Seattle could potentially just build the downtown portion as a Rail Convertible Bus Tunnel (like the current bus tunnel.) This would solve a lot of problems on a shorter timeline than getting full rail built and set us up for long term rail expansion.
5
Ed Murray has become that kid from the Twilight Zone episode: if you think bad thoughts (about the waterfront tunnel) then he'll wish you away to the cornfield (taking away your desperately needed rail tunnel). He wants Seattle to be sitting in that living room with him, coddling him, desperately trying to put on a brave face despite the growing crisis.
6
In my book, by far the most important remaining project that needs to happen to make the Seattle region have a viable, working transportation system is to build light rail through the Ballard-downtown-West Seattle corridor, and to make that line be grade-separated (tunneled) through downtown.

So when Ed Murray says the following, he could just as well be speaking for me: "My fear around Bertha isn’t so much isn’t that the current tunnel can’t be built. But I believe [its failure] will kill any opportunity to build a fourth tunnel through Seattle. The ultimate answer to transit through downtown Seattle is for light rail to come through downtown Seattle from West Seattle or Ballard.”

When it comes to the deep-bore tunnel, that really is my dog in the fight. I hope it succeeds if for no other reason than I fear that its failure will create some insurmountable resistance to building a second downtown transit tunnel.

I hope my fear is unfounded. I realize these are two vastly different tunnel projects, and that a second downtown transit tunnel would be nowhere near the engineering big deal that the DBT is. I realize the two projects really should be unrelated. I realize I'm talking not so much about engineering as political and public perception.

I tend to take Murray at face value on this and not see some sinister motive. In this respect, I'm really relieved to be hearing such a statement from him. I voted for Mike McGinn because I've regarded him as more sincerely pro-transit, but if Murray proves to be more effective in actually getting transit built--well, I'll take results over righteous any day.
7
I'm all for a light rail connecting west Seattle to Ballard. I don't understand why you'd need another tunnel when you could travel along west Seattle bridge then connect to the existing link light rail at the SoDo station then once it gets past Westlake it goes elevated through interbay onwards to Ballard.

It's pretty common in light rail networks to have some overlap, and it would avoid tearing up more of downtown. Plus the downtown stations are huge and can easily handle more rail traffic.
8
Who the fick wants to go from West Seattle to Ballard? What a stupid idea -- I thought we got rid of that idiot notion when the Council killed the Viaduct.
9
There isn't enough capacity to put all north-south traffic through one downtown tunnel for all time. If you run East Link and Central Link trains north through Capitol Hill and the U District (and further north), you can run each line every 5 minutes and have trains going that way every 2 1/2 minutes. If you add another line, you'd have to increase headway. (Every line added means branching frequency at longer intervals.) In the short term, there's not enough overall ridership to need headway that short, so you could squeeze in another line. A Ballard spur could work on this concept, though Sound Transit would probably prefer to have a transfer rather than interline. But in the long run, you really want another tunnel through downtown close enough to quickly transfer between the two.
10
Who the fick wants to go from West Seattle to Ballard? What a stupid idea -- I thought we got rid of that idiot notion when the Council killed the Monorail.
11
@10 Lots of people want to go from W Seattle to downtown. And downtown to Ballard. And back. It's what the D and C lines do now, and they're always crowded (though D more than C).
12
Let's finish the viaduct first along with the sea-wall (remember the sea-wall?) That's an ongoing fiasco in itself. Then we can make more tunnels for whatever they want. Bertha is a priority because of the cost factor, let' not complicate things with MORE transit projects.
13
Ed has clearly gone insane
14
@7 is correct
15
If Murray has any brains, he'll parlay the Bertha disaster into a bunch of light rail tunnels. That exit at Broad and Aurora will do. Send them off to the Eastside, Green Lake and Ballard. The extra wide section that's already been dug near Pioneer Square will make a nice station.
16
@11
I was joking.
It's bitter irony.
Many of the same people who are saying how much we need to go from West Seattle to Ballard were using that very same criticism -- "No one wants yo go from West Seattle to Ballard!" -- during the monorail failure.
How quickly people change their spots when convenient.
17
@7 The existing transit tunnel has a maximum theoretical capacity of 40 trains an hour, however ST has said they don't want to exceed 30 trains an hour for logistical reasons. (If you're running that close to your theoretical maximum, one train running late creates ripple effects through the whole system...) The current planning for running light rail from Everett, Tacoma and Redmond would have 20 trains an hour through the tunnel (http://www.soundtransit.org/Documents/pd…)

Adding a Ballard-West Seattle line into the mix would put the tunnel right around that 30 trains an hour. It also makes a complete mess of interlining headways. Because of all of that any planning for a Ballard - Downtown - West Seattle line has it either terminate on the edges of downtown, or include a second tunnel.
18
To get a car tunnel that is only half the capacity of the viaduct you need to set a record for the largest bored tunnel ever. Assuming you even can.

Perfectly good train tunnels are far smaller and we've proven we can build them.
19
Car tunnels are solutions for a world that no longer exists - ventilation & quake & pumps make them giant GlobalWarming quadruple threats, even if every car is a plug in electric vehicle.

Stick a fork in Ed Murray, he's grasping for straw men.
20
Wouldn't this be the 5th tunnel? Is Ed not aware of the bus tunnel?
21
Tunnel dreams.

Was it robotslave who reminded us recently that Hitachi Zosen was way out on a limb with their design for the Bertha tunneling machine (much bigger than previous models; awkward and untested compromise among parameters for different soil conditions)?

Anybody wanting to propose a more rational tunnel (specific to mass transit needs rather than auto/truck traffic; smaller and routed anywhere other than the notoriously unstable and unpredictable reclaimed-land zone of the downtown waterfront) should take pains to distance themselves from the Bertha flustercuck and STP/Hitachi Zosen.
22
@18 made my point more concisely while I was woolgathering.
23
I cannot handle the responsibility of killing a tunnel that isn't even being built yet! I can barely handle the responsibility of the tunnel I'm supposed to be working on! TOO. MUCH. PRESSURE!!

@BerthaDeBlues
24
@18 @21 also correct

We tried Ed Murray wishful thinking & magic realism of zero problem tunnel solutions- they don't work
25
If only we had a mayor who could get things done in Olympia, this would not be a problem.
26
@25 LOL. Really, in Olympia, or more apropos - at Olympia's request?
27
When did Mayor Murray stop swearing at Stranger reporters?
28
Why not add a ferry run between West Seattle and Interbay? Why does everything have to go through downtown?

With that said, we do need rapid transit between downtown and West Seattle/Ballard, but the two can ideas can co-exist (cross bay ferry service and rapid transit to/from downton)
29
Catalina, I love your idea of a ferry from Westlake Mall to intersection of, say, California/Alaska!
30
Caution dear, perhaps a bit of reading comprehension or geography is in order for you. Westlake is not interbay. And There's more to West Seattle than the junction. Do try to keep up.
31
And one of the Seattle Times "wishful thinking" headlines they would like to see in 2015 is this:

"Mayor takes over Seattle Schools"

The Mayor, in his short time as mayor, has taken over Parks, will create a new system of pre-K (that will compete with the fed program and the state program at a much higher than advertised cost) AND is still trying to get a tunnel built.

Adding the takeover of Seattle Schools (which would need legislative approval) seems a huge stretch of both ability and bandwidth.

(Note: even though this is the Times' stated wish, Murray is also contemplating it but continues to deny he is. Just wait.)

32
I wish we could go back in time and see all the comment histories of people telling us that tunneling here is inherently a crap shoot, "just look at Brightwater," etc. Now we're hearing "we all know small tunnels can be done just fine," I suspect from the exact same people.

Here's what happened - the drill broke. Everyone who predicted that has some credibility. Everyone else just said "something bad might happen..." And now wants to tell us how right they were and how we should listen to their next prediction.

Murray's point seems to be that purse string holders in Olympia are only as smart as "tunnel broken mean all tunnel bad." And so if Bertha is left to rot, we'll have to deal with all those idiots as a road block to getting transit done, much like the ones here who want "I told you so" credit for predicting that some nonspecific bad thing might happen at some non specific time in the future.
33
Upon further consideration, I'm finding myself more skeptical of Ed Murray than I was @6. A second north-south light-rail tunnel through downtown exists in a different political sphere than the deep-bore tunnel does. That transit tunnel would be the key piece of Sound Transit 3 for the Seattle/North King County subarea, and ST3 is dependent on taxing-authority legislation from Olympia. And there's nothing saying the state legislature has to make granting that taxing authority have anything to do with the deep-bore tunnel. In fact, if such a coupling were to happen, it would be yet another example of the "You'll only get your transit if we get our roads" hostage-taking that has been all too common in this state.

So now I guess I'm back to my view of Ed Murray as the "wolf in sheep's clothes" of pro-transit politicians.

That said, I'm still pleasantly taken aback at his coming out and saying, "The ultimate answer to transit through downtown Seattle is for light rail to come through downtown Seattle from West Seattle or Ballard." Hence, my initial reaction. Maybe the Seattle Subway folks have the mayor's ear.

And having given my "on the other hand" to my original comment, I could lay out another "on the other hand" to this one--that basically things aren't as simple as I'm making them out to be.

+1 on @18 and @21 on how a new transit tunnel is nothing like the deep-bore tunnel.
34
This reminds me, the always-awesome Rep. Jessyn Farrell from the 46th District says in her latest newsletter: On the (transit) funding side, I am co-sponsoring legislation authorizing Sound Transit to put together a new regional ballot measure.

Folks, contact your state legislators and tell them to get behind this. And I'd love to hear Sydney Brownstone here ask the mayor a follow-up question, "Would you support Rep. Farrell's ST3 bill?"
35
in case this whole Bertha thing doesn’t work out

Bertha has no reverse gear so there’s no way to back it out. What I don't understand is: didn't Seattle Tunnel Partners consider the possibility that the machine might encounter a problem while digging and would need to be repaired? It sure seems like something you'd want to be prepared for.
36
@35 - I know, you'd think so, right? It's as if the words "What if?" never occured to STP beforehand.
37
36, yeah, you'd definitely think so. I imagine they did consider the possibility, but figured the chance that Bertha would need to be repaired was so remote that it wasn't worth the cost to prepare for it. On the other hand, you'd think that a doing something like having a reverse gear wouldn't have added that much to the cost of the machine.

39
@37 (forgive me linking to myself): explanation here.
40
(Re: 39, not an explanation of STP & WSDOT's gamble, just of why the machine can't back up.)
41
@14 is wrong.
42
Thanks for linking to that thread, rob.

the machine has a larger diameter than the concrete-lined tunnel it poops out of its rear end

OK, so that's why no reverse; it simply can't be backed up given the existing tunnel-lining process. Could that tunnel-lining process have been modified in some way in order to allow the machine to be backed up if necessary? I would think so but it undoubtedly would have cost more money and, again, I'd bet that STP decided that the chance that Bertha would need to be repaired was so remote that it wasn't worth that cost. They stuck with a plan where, if something happened to the machine, the only option is to do what they're doing -- or trying to do now -- dig down into it. And considering that no forward tunneling progress has been made for over a year, and they still have not reached the machine to haul parts out to repair it, that doesn't seem like a very wise plan.
43
30: Westlake is not interbay.

Not yet.
44
@42

The engineering problem here is that for the length of the boring machine, the only thing keeping the pre-lined tunnel from caving in is the machine itself.

If the lined tunnel were going to be big enough for the machine to back out, the pre-lined tunnel would have to be bigger than the machine-- and the machine would no longer be preventing that pre-lined tunnel from collapsing. This tunnel-holding-up aspect of the design is referred to as the "tunnel shield," and tunnel shields have been in use in one form or another for about 100 years longer than the modern combination boring+lining machines.

Modern tunneling machines have been evolving for some 50 years now. f you've got a sound idea of how to build a combination boring head + shield + lining machine that can back out of its own lined, structurally stable hole, there are several enormous multinational civil engineering firms that would love to hear from you.

Trust me, you're not the first person to think that it might be good to be able to put one of these mole-mobiles in reverse.

Oh, also: there are and were plans to repair the machine in-place (without digging a pit down from the surface in front of it) if needed. But it's faster, cheaper, and safer to do it the way they're currently going about it, when conditions allow.
45
Oh, and like @40, this is not meant to be any sort of endorsement of the colossally stupid design they went with for this project, nor of the choice of a relatively inexperienced firm to build the machine, nor of the decision to replace the viaduct with a tunnel to begin with.

Just trying to explain why you can't build a simple reverse gear into one of these things.
46
This is just a bullshit line to get McGinn followers to support the car tunnel. And he's doing it in the worst way possible, by playing to our fears. Jerk.
47
Just say no to stupid tunnels 70% of Seattle voted against
48
Can't have a train viaduct down 3rd or 4th?
49
He's holding transit funding hostage to this car tunnel's completion. Jerk.
50
Murray is suddenly worried about the credibility of our elected officials in Olympia re: transit authority? He allowed the cost overrun provision in the tunnel bill and then said it was ok, we tricked everybody because it's unenforceable. 90% of elected officials in the region were saying ridiculous things like "on time, on budget" and "there will be no cost ovverruns" when any reasonable person should have concluded that there were big risks to this project.
51
@42: It really can't. Essentially, the machine digs a hole, then lays down a hard shell to line the tunnel so it doesn't collapse on itself. That shell takes up a significant amount of space through which the tunneling shield's bore-head has already dug.

I don't know the exact details of what's going on, but part of the function of the bore-head is to hold back the weight of all of the backfilled earth that's in front of it, and that threatens to collapse into the tunnel it's dug if they pull it back. This collapsing earth must by necessity come from SOMEWHERE, and in this case that somewhere is under the foundations of buildings in Pioneer Square. If you think the settling we've seen so far is bad, you'd hate to see the result of removing the TBM. Incidentally, I think this is why the TBM can't be easily repaired where it is. The broken bit in question seems to play a part in holding the earthen wall in front of it up.

Side note: The technique was actually invented in the 1820s for a tunnel under the Thames river by Marc Brunel, (father of Isambard Kingdom Brunel, who did basically every cool civil engineering thing that could be done in early 19th century Britain.) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunnelling_…
52
I like the mayor, but I think he is being ridiculous. To begin with, "then I suspect that the state won’t be able to pay for another tunnel". The state was never going to pay for another tunnel. The state hasn't paid a dime for transit. Sound Transit is paid for by the region, not the state.

Second, he may be worried that Bertha failing will somehow get everyone scared about tunnels. That is ridiculous. Transit tunnels are being built right now, and they have all been hugely successful (they are being completed way earlier than expected). Furthermore, it is a different company and a different tunnel. The company that is building the 99 tunnel has a bad reputation. The company that is building (or has built) the transit tunnels has a great reputation. But mainly a downtown transit tunnel on fourth has none of the engineering challenges that the 99 tunnel has. That is a ridiculous comparison.
53
44 & 51, rob (@ 39) had already pointed me to the explanation of why the machine can't be backed out of the tunnel for repair but thanks to both of you for your follow-on comments.

45: this is not meant to be any sort of endorsement of the colossally stupid design they went with for this project, nor of the choice of a relatively inexperienced firm to build the machine, nor of the decision to replace the viaduct with a tunnel to begin with.

Thanks, and I didn't take it that way.
54
This is very nice and really appreciating.

you can also visit http://www.ride.com/ for more information.
56
Ok, so as we've established before, the machine can't back out due to it creating a lining to stabilize the tunnel as it digs. Here's my question: how has no one ever created a fail-safe that allows the mechanical back-end of a deep bore drill to reduce it's circumference in order to be backed out? You detach from the drill head, and have the rest of the mechanism set up in a manner that expands or retracts like the aperture of a camera. After the bulk of the machine reverses from the hole, you dismantle the drill head.

Please someone talk me down from this idea, because I don't have an engineering background whatsoever, but it seems pretty simple.
57
How about keeping Bertha where it is, ending the project and making it a tourist attraction with walking tour, large photographs and engineering plans lining the walls to explain how stupid the idea was to spend billions on a project that was only political payback by our former govenor Gregoire to the construction industry for its political contributions. I belive it will become more famous than the space needle. It could be called Gregoire's tunnel to no-where. The viaduct can still be torn down without major disruption to traffic.
58
In the Cooper Hewitt design museum in NYC there is currently an homage to Bertha in their ingenious tools exhibit. HA HA HA! I wanted to affix a sticky note next to it...
59
I don't actually think the Mayor is all that crazy for expressing this fear. I think what folks are missing here is that as lovers of mass transit, you mistakenly assume he's talking about you when he worries about never being able to build another tunnel. When I hear his comments, the folks that come to mind instead are those assholes that vote down every tax increase, yell about every investment in public infrastructure, gut public services and then complain when a government official makes a mistake.

We all know those types, right? The ones who just shit on every last little thing that doesn't go exactly as they think it should have gone and don't understand anything about long term planning. The fuck you, got mines. Those are the folks that I believe the Mayor is worried about.

While it's perfectly true that the transit tunnels being done by Sound Transit, those aren't getting the attention that the Bertha issue is.
60
@56: Although the back end of a tunnel-boring machine consists of a large amount of heavy, bulky machinery, I supposed it might be possible to stretch it out horizontally within a narrower diameter to allow some sort of circumferential contraction—but that question is moot because in this type of TBM, the cutter head and the chamber immediately behind it operate at high pressure (often from 4 to ten times atmospheric pressure at sea level, or 60-150 pounds per square inch) in order to prevent the unconsolidated soils at working depth from forcing their way back through the machine, and that pressure is maintained by compressed air pumped in, as well as the rotational rate of the auger that pulls mined material away from the face. So you can't disconnect the machinery and back it away. Individual cutter-head elements can be replaced from the back of the cutter head by sending workers into the pressurized chamber through an airlock, but this is dangerous and they must undergo decompression just like deep-sea divers. Replacing the main seals would be difficult if not impossible, let alone dismantling the cutter head.
61
@9 the capacity problem could be solved if they would just get the busses out of the tunnels. Busses can't maintain a schedule like the trains can - they get held up in traffic then hold up the trains when they show up all bunched together in the tunnel. We should turn more streets topside into bus-only corridors so they can get in and out of downtown on a reasonable schedule and keep the tunnels for the trains only. There is no reason we should have the giant clusterfuck of traffic ruin not only bus service but light rail service as well.
62
@61

Your first sentence is not true. The numbers you were looking at were with the buses removed. I agree with everything else you said, but removing the buses from the DTTT wont fix the headway problem if you add a whole new line.
63
@60

That all makes sense. Thank you sir/madame!
64
Sir, upon rechecking your user name...
65
Maybe we could focus our energy into making this project succeed, rather than quitting. Quitting is for losers [Mr. Mayor.] There is ALWAYS a way.... Never give up damn it. Perhaps the solutions reached, should we pursue this to the end, could guide another 'grand' idea away from another incompetent classic Seattle mess of a project. But no go ahead, why don't we start a 5th and Sixth project before we figure this out..
66
@65

I love the juxtaposition of your comment and your username
67
@56, @60

Even in a non-EPB design, if you were to contract the shield, then there would be nothing holding the unlined tunnel occupied by the machine in place, and it would in all likelihood collapse. The collapse would then crush your contracted shield (and destroy your machine, and drop whatever is sitting on the surface above by some fraction of your machine diameter, and fill at least some your completed lined hole with debris) because when you've got the shield sectioned and contracted like a cylindrical leaf shutter, it no longer has any of the structural strength of a circle.

Again, the large teams of engineers who design and build these things aren't anywhere near as stupid as the peanut gallery seems to think they are, and if you've got a viable way to extract a tunneling machine through its own lined hole for repairs, there are several enormous international civil engineering firms that would love to hear from you.

Just so we don't get more questions like this, let me reiterate:

The machine itself is preventing the hole from collapsing, and the hole will collapse if you take out the machine.

 

@60 In our particular case, to suggest that Bertha is pressurizing the tunnel is getting things backwards. Bertha is well below the water table, and the ambient pressure is about what it would be at the same depth below water (you'd reach 4 atmospheres about 100 feet down). It would be somewhat less misleading to say that Bertha is depressurizing the cabin (like a submarine) rather than pressurizing the cutting face.
68
@65 Focus our energy to make this a success. Yeah, just keep shoveling more Seattle taxpayer money into the hole. It's bound to fill up sometime soon with the big thinkers at City Hall.
Some of us have seen this show already; The Boston big dig which went from 2.8 Billion to 22 billion dollars. Look it up. Things we haven't seen here yet are; cost of rat mitigation. When you dig a tunnel through a densely inhabited waterfront, the local wildlife decides to move a few blocks uptown. I'm still expecting the Mexico City/Rome discovery of the ruins of a Native American village at tunnel level.

Oh, and the brave statements that Seattle taxpayers won't have to pay for the cost overruns. Stay tuned when Murray and the City Council announce that they're really surprised to find we do have to pay for it.

It's possible to build a transit tunnel with less stupidity than the Viaduct replacement. However you still have the same expert management. Why would anyone vote for a repeat of that?
69
@68
I spend my time advocating for transit, so I'm not going to worry too much about the Bertha tunnel. As someone who is not involved in the project, I cant fix it.

As for your last point "It's possible to build a transit tunnel with less stupidity than the Viaduct replacement. However you still have the same expert management. Why would anyone vote for a repeat of that?"

The management is not the same. Link tunnels are being built by different contractors completely, and the contracts are being overseen by Sound Transit, not the Washington State Dept. of Transportation(WSDOT). Sound Transit has been very effective at delivering their projects. The U-Link extension is right now 8+ months ahead of schedule, and $200M under budget. WSDOT's problems with their mega-projects ( Bertha, 520) are a separate issue.

70
How about a north south corridor in east King County to relieve traffic on I5 & I405, hence reducing the traffic load for SR99, then a surface street could work fine.
71
@67

You've once again perfectly summed up why I think you are an unconscionable asshole. Good day to you.
72
They could remove the cutter head from the inside of the machine, fix it, and put it back?

Realllly.............

Let's hear about how this works. Not to say it can't be done, but probably costs more than the TBM tool to begin with.
73
@Roma, #35,

TBM's erect the walls inside the tube they drill using the most recently installed ring as a push platform. The cutter head has to be big enough to make a hole very slightly larger than the rings, so it can at most be backed up the distance it has bored since the most recent ring was installed. It wasn't that Hitachi Zosen made a boo-boo; it's an inherent weakness in ALL TBM's.

Please wait...

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