Comments

1
And Jon Stewart is leaving the Daily Show. Today is not a good day. :'(
2
It's hard to imagine Lynch playing more than two years. Some games he seemed to be about half the time. After hearing Miami is giving Ryan Tannehill a $100 million, a team friendly deal for Russell Wilson would be a surprise. The national media and some sheeple might say he's mediocre, but he was a play away from two Super Bowls in his first three seasons.
3
^ Just a mediocre passer, but getting better. But I know one throw he wants back.
4
@Spike, any thoughts on Michael Sam's situation? http://www.outsports.com/2015/2/8/800030…
5
@2: I think he also realizes that the team is going to use the rest of the money to put excellent people around him, and that a nice OL or WR signing could swing a couple games. For example, if they had kept Golden Tate this past year.... :\
6
2 more, tops. he needs to be able to walk after his career is over.

so the deal will prob be 3 years...
7
Michel and Turbin will be fine. I hope he comes back and has another great year, but it's ultimately not that important for the team's success.
8
Does the team have some sense of Marshawn's physical health that the fans don't? I find it hard to believe a guy who plays the way he does will be able to keep that up into his 30s.
9
Beast Mode was awesome to behold, but it is not forever. As much as I would miss Lynch on the roster, I would like to see him exit on a high note and under his own power.
10
Great article, thanks rob!
11
Thanks, @10.
12
@7: Neither Michel nor Turbin can come close to doing what Lynch does. Lynch is the only reason that offense is able to do anyting at all, even when he is not carrying the ball.

Why do you think Seattle is falling over itself to give an aging RB huge money to stick around? They know where their bread is buttered. The offense is dead without Lynch or a similar talent.
13
Marshawn is not retiring. He's negotiating the giant payday he deserves.
14
@13 completely agree. The Green Bay game really showed Lynch's value. The Hawks would be good without him, but they need him to be great. Hopefully there will be money left to add receivers and offensive linemen.
15
@12, nonsense. Lynch is good enough that he would be a real loss, but not a devastating one (assuming he remains a well above average RB, which we can't assume, since as Shawn Alexander demonstrated, RBs collapse quickly and early). The relationship between quality of running game and quality of offense is actually quite modest. He's less important to the team's success than he appears to be to the casual fan.

Good primer here: http://blog.minitab.com/blog/the-statist…
16
@15: You do realize how that the constant threat of Lynch's ability to turn anything into a big gain keeps the defense off balance right? The entirety of Seattle's offensive gameplan is to keep the run game going with Lynch so it opens up opportunities for Wilson to run and the recievers to find space underneath.

Without a strong run game, you have Wilson throwing the ball 30+ times a game, which is going to create a pile of losses. Those option runs depend on Lynch, even when he is not holding the ball, and it also buys time for the QB in the backfield and makes bootloegs that much more effective. This stuff is 95% of Seattle's offense. Lynch's impact can not be overstated. Without a dominant runner, teams have nothing at all to fear from Seattle's defense, as it is easy to shut down the QB when there is nothing else to worry about.

That article you link is ridiculously simple and completely ignores everything but the amount of time one guy carries the ball. Horrid analysis which does not tell anyone anything they did not already know. You also have to realize how bad the marke is for RBs, especially ones who have been playing as long as Lynch, and what it means that Seatle is willing to extend him for multiple years nd big money just to keep him around. Something tells me they know more about their situation than a mathematical formula.
17
Should be "Without a dominant runner, teams have nothing at all to fear from Seattle's OFFENSE."
18
@2 he's also an unfortunately "icing" timeout of going to at least the NFC championship game 3 years in a row.
19
I'm not saying he's not worth it; he's one of the very few RBs who is special. It won't hurt the team as much as people think, though, because people overrate the value of the running game and underrate the contribution of the line to said game. Michel/Turbin will look like + runners whether they are or not. Losing Lynch would be a blow, but not the kind of blow this article makes it out to be.
20
@19: Lynch's ability to generate yards after contact is the best in the league, which along with Wilson's penchant to run makes the O line look a lot better than what it actually is. You are ignoring what is happening on the field in favor of what is happening on paper.

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