More cracker-jack political journalism from Matt Baume. Climate change is hurting Trump in New Hampshire, where his primary opponents are Ted "Climate change is religion not science" Cruz and Marco "we shouldn't do anything about climate change because 'America is not a Planet'" Rubio.
Furthermore, we're told that his lead is "getting wobbly", but he's been steady between 31-35 for the last month, and no other candidate has topped a polling average of 15%, and Silver's 63% chance of winning, contra Baume's framing ("still") is the best chance Silver has given him to date (and, of course, Silver's trump-skepticism is reflected in his model.). There's no significant evidence trump is struggling, beyond some quote from a random GOP person who has every political motivation to spread skepticism about Trump.
You've hired talented, smart, non-hacks to write about politics before, Stranger editors, and I'm sure you'll do it again. Time to pull the plug on this error of judgment.
An El Nino year is a particularly hard time to get any traction on the climate change "debate", a fact I have no doubt the GOP will exploit in their speeches.
Instead of watching deniers laughing at science's 99% certainty for a CO2 end of days why don't you eager "believers" tell your science gods to shut down the denier machine and agree it's as real as smoking causing cancer? Or are they also only 99% sure the planet isn't flat?
Furthermore, we're told that his lead is "getting wobbly", but he's been steady between 31-35 for the last month, and no other candidate has topped a polling average of 15%, and Silver's 63% chance of winning, contra Baume's framing ("still") is the best chance Silver has given him to date (and, of course, Silver's trump-skepticism is reflected in his model.). There's no significant evidence trump is struggling, beyond some quote from a random GOP person who has every political motivation to spread skepticism about Trump.
You've hired talented, smart, non-hacks to write about politics before, Stranger editors, and I'm sure you'll do it again. Time to pull the plug on this error of judgment.