A new poll paid for by Cary Moon's campaign shows Moon and her opponent Jenny Durkan nearly tied in the race for mayor.
The poll, conducted by DC-based firm GBA Strategies, asked 400 likely voters who they would vote for if the election were held today. The results: 38 percent Durkan, 36 percent Moon. "Each candidate has 15 percent who express with certainty that they will stay with their candidate, suggesting many voters are persuadable," the memo says.
Moon's campaign is spinning the results as a positive, pointing out that Durkan has spent more than double the amount of money Moon has. From the Moon camp:
The poll was conducted over the weekend with a margin of error of about 5 percent. Most voters were contacted by phone (55 percent cell phones) and some were contacted online. (This is roughly the same methodology as two polls conducted before primary with a similar margin of error.)
A memo from the polling firm says that although the survey was conducted before yesterday's new sex abuse allegations against Mayor Ed Murray and his resignation, Murray "was already exceedingly unpopular (26 percent favorable – 48 percent unfavorable)." The memo does not provide more details about how that question was posed. Durkan accepted Murray's endorsement in June, after four men had come forward accusing Murray of childhood sexual abuse. (Murray denies all the sex abuse allegations.) At the time, Durkan said she was "honored" to accept Murray's endorsement. Yesterday, after a fifth man accused Murray of abuse, Durkan said the mayor should resign and removed his endorsement from her website.
Durkan has spent $36,300 on "opinion research" from a Washington, D.C.-based polling and research firm, according to state campaign finance records. Representatives from her campaign did not respond to requests to release the results of that "research."