Interesting, Moon and Oliver raised comparable funds, so it looks like Oliver might have made it to the general if she'd done an ad buy or two instead of holding back half the money she raised.
So who gets who's vote? While sure, the electorate will change in the General over the Primary, I suspect Moon picks up the lions share (if they decide to vote) of the votes for:
1. Oliver
2. Farrell
3. Hasegawa.
I suspect that McGinn voters could break in either direction: not because he is a corporate shill, but because conservative folks will generally choose what they know, and McGinn is what they knew, and Durkin is who they will see on TV.
Beyond that it will mostly be noise... *If* people vote in the General with the same likes and biases as they did in the Primary, *and* the primary was an accurate snapshot of who will turn out in November, I think Moon is the candidate to beat.
@4 The takeway for me is that Moon was self-funding her campaign to a significant extent, which isn't really something I've seen in prior media coverage (not that it was actually discussed in any detail here). I'll be interested to see how this plays out in the general election.
Neither Oliver or Moon had to spend much of their time fundraising. While Durkan was running around schmoozing big donors, they were out meeting voters. It's one of the ways campaign money becomes self-defeating. One of the reasons it takes so many expensive ads to eke out one vote is that voters haven't been given any other reason to care about you. Sincere activists don't need the hard sell. By definition, they inspire people.
The other message is that big business in Seattle believes in radicals like Oliver and Moon. This canard that they are ineffective dreamers whose policies are illegal or impossible is belied by their campaign spending. They know damn well that a different system is possible and that's why they are willing to spend so much to keep themselves securely atop the hierarchy.
Durkan needs to lose the cynical habits she's fallen into and return to her roots if she wants to avoid a very embarrassing, expensive loss. You can't fake it. You have to be the real deal.
#6: If your only evidence that big business is really really worried about socialist candidates like Moon and Oliver is that Durkan raised a whopping half a million dollars, I don't think you quite understand the term big business.
1. Oliver
2. Farrell
3. Hasegawa.
I suspect that McGinn voters could break in either direction: not because he is a corporate shill, but because conservative folks will generally choose what they know, and McGinn is what they knew, and Durkin is who they will see on TV.
Beyond that it will mostly be noise... *If* people vote in the General with the same likes and biases as they did in the Primary, *and* the primary was an accurate snapshot of who will turn out in November, I think Moon is the candidate to beat.
The other message is that big business in Seattle believes in radicals like Oliver and Moon. This canard that they are ineffective dreamers whose policies are illegal or impossible is belied by their campaign spending. They know damn well that a different system is possible and that's why they are willing to spend so much to keep themselves securely atop the hierarchy.
Durkan needs to lose the cynical habits she's fallen into and return to her roots if she wants to avoid a very embarrassing, expensive loss. You can't fake it. You have to be the real deal.
It's probably worth mentioning that Hasegawa was prohibited from fundraising until the end of the third special legislative session in Olympia.