The thing nobody wants to tell you about testing is that the BEST tests have a 0.5% false positive or false negative result.
And the tests we're rolling out in the US have up to a 10% false positive.
Think about Seattle. No problem, lots of infected people. 10% sounds reasonable.
What about the rest of the state? Maybe they have a 10% infected rate. So 10% false positive means 20%. But if it's false negative it means 0% positive could actually be 10% infected.
See?
Oh, we had to recall a few tens of thousands of tests, by the way.
FFS Kadmon get a grip man. The 404 trolls exist to wind you up. They know what they post is full of shit and they don’t care. Don’t wrestle with a pig. You’ll just get dirty and the pig will enjoy it.
The virus is plenty lethal. In fact let’s use the 60% asymptomatic number from The Big Stick. The 3/4 mil with the virus now would be 40% of those that were infected at some point. Let’s be generous and say 3 mil asymptotic plus a mil for current cases just to keep the math a round number as I want to make it as easy as possible for the MAGAs to follow along.
That means that right now 4 million have it. At the current rate ASSuming a generously padded 4 mil cases it’s about 12 times deadlier than the flu. In reality it’s probably closer to 20 times more deadly than the flu using current confirmed and the hypothetical 60%. And it ain’t all old fat people dying from it.
"The 404 trolls exist to wind you up."
I post to piss them off. It helps reduce the boredom and stress of the lockdown.
Besides, the clicks help generate revenue for the Stranger.
I like to think of it as my donation, and it has a multiplier effect every time the 404 troll responds.
"Don’t wrestle with a pig. You’ll just get dirty and the pig will enjoy it."
I like getting dirty, and I'd be surprised if they enjoy it half as much as I do.
@120 Adam Kadmon: If you're out to piss off the 404 trolls, go for it. I'd play Whack-a-Troll more often, but so many of them, like @110, @112, @116 and others (most likely the same solitary commenter using multiple sign in names) are already dying of TRUMPVID-19. They appear to be real gluttons for punishment. Their ignorance is abysmal.
@108: If such a theoretical extrapolation makes you feel better, nobody should have a problem with it.
@112: 404, see comment @111 and get a colonoscopy.
The thing nobody wants to tell you about testing is that the BEST tests have a 0.5% false positive or false negative result.
And the tests we're rolling out in the US have up to a 10% false positive.
Think about Seattle. No problem, lots of infected people. 10% sounds reasonable.
What about the rest of the state? Maybe they have a 10% infected rate. So 10% false positive means 20%. But if it's false negative it means 0% positive could actually be 10% infected.
See?
Oh, we had to recall a few tens of thousands of tests, by the way.
@114 I'll have to assume constipated.
FFS Kadmon get a grip man. The 404 trolls exist to wind you up. They know what they post is full of shit and they don’t care. Don’t wrestle with a pig. You’ll just get dirty and the pig will enjoy it.
The virus is plenty lethal. In fact let’s use the 60% asymptomatic number from The Big Stick. The 3/4 mil with the virus now would be 40% of those that were infected at some point. Let’s be generous and say 3 mil asymptotic plus a mil for current cases just to keep the math a round number as I want to make it as easy as possible for the MAGAs to follow along.
That means that right now 4 million have it. At the current rate ASSuming a generously padded 4 mil cases it’s about 12 times deadlier than the flu. In reality it’s probably closer to 20 times more deadly than the flu using current confirmed and the hypothetical 60%. And it ain’t all old fat people dying from it.
@118 The Old Soundman: Points well taken.
@118
"The 404 trolls exist to wind you up."
I post to piss them off. It helps reduce the boredom and stress of the lockdown.
Besides, the clicks help generate revenue for the Stranger.
I like to think of it as my donation, and it has a multiplier effect every time the 404 troll responds.
"Don’t wrestle with a pig. You’ll just get dirty and the pig will enjoy it."
I like getting dirty, and I'd be surprised if they enjoy it half as much as I do.
@120 Adam Kadmon: If you're out to piss off the 404 trolls, go for it. I'd play Whack-a-Troll more often, but so many of them, like @110, @112, @116 and others (most likely the same solitary commenter using multiple sign in names) are already dying of TRUMPVID-19. They appear to be real gluttons for punishment. Their ignorance is abysmal.
@121: "most likely the same solitary commenter using multiple sign in names"
No auntie, there are billions of them. See comment 85.
116
Yes, mental constipation and explosive verbal diarrhea