News

Dave Reichert Can Be Defeated

A Veteran Campaign Manager Explains How

U.S. representative Dave Reichert (R-8) is starting to look like the Wile E. Coyote of Eastside politics. Every two years, a challenger drops an Acme safe on the congressman in a brutal campaign to unseat him. But when the dust settles, there he is—still standing, if a bit shorter. Is there any way Democrats can take this guy out?

I'm here to tell you he can be beat. How do I know? Because I lost to him.

That's not a misprint. I was the campaign manager for Dave Ross, Reichert's Democratic opponent in 2004.

I learned more in losing that race than I ever did after a victory. Losing to Reichert gave me a long time to think about what we should have done differently—and what we can do to de-Reichert Washington's 8th Congressional District (CD) in 2010.

In the early 1990s, the 8th District, which includes parts of eastern King and Pierce Counties, was considered the Ds' version of Stalingrad. By the mid-to-late 90s, though, it was finally starting to look a little more blue. In 1996, Bill Clinton won big in the 8th District, as did Senator Patty Murray in 1998 and Governor Gary Locke in 2000.

As the 2000s went on, even state legislative seats in Bellevue and parts east began to move into the D column. We started to think, maybe even assume, that Jennifer Dunn would be the last Republican to represent that district in Congress as well.

We were wrong. Fast forward to 2004. Congresswoman Dunn announced her resignation, the Ds pounced, and thus was born a very strong field consisting of one former candidate, one tech millionaire, and KIRO radio's voice of common sense, Dave Ross.

The Rs had an equally strong field, and after a tough primary, they put forward then–King County sheriff Dave Reichert.

Despite our efforts, and thanks in part to a few million dollars' worth of brutal, untrue TV ads against him (including images of a burning American flag and Seattle in nuclear winter), Dave Ross did not become a congressman. Dave Reichert did and he remains a congressman despite two close races with another strong candidate, Darcy Burner.

I'm not going to armchair quarterback those Burner efforts. First, I played offensive line in football and couldn't throw a football to the ground if not for gravity. Second, Darcy had a good team, and she ran two hard campaigns. Now it's time to look forward to what the Ds should do if they want to evict Reichert from a district where a solid majority of voters now lean Democratic.

Get a Good Candidate... Yesterday

Don't wait until June of 2010 to get someone to run. The Ds have a deep bench on the Eastside with smart, tough legislators like Ross Hunter, Judy Clibborn, and Christopher Hurst representing the area. Hell, if five want to run, let 'em—the more the merrier! Political Darwinism can be a good thing. Hillary Clinton's campaign did more to hone Obama in their two-person version of Survivor than any of his advisers or donors. Over the next 18 months, the candidates can build a strong fundraising base, doorbell themselves through six pairs of Adidas, and get to better know the 8th CD better then Reichert ever will.

Also, the ideal candidate would be an elected official. Not because electeds are any smarter or better able to represent the district, but because folks tend to vote for people they've seen on previous ballots. Both Ross and Burner were first-time candidates in '04 and '06, respectively. True, Burner ran in '08 as a second-time candidate, but she had never served in office—giving Reichert the opportunity to hammer her on experience once again, which he did, gleefully.

Start Knocking on Doors Now. Campaigns, ultimately, are really simple: You've got to get more votes than the other guy. Ordering coffee takes more math. With just two years until the next race, the Democrats need to funnel some of the excellent, and now unemployed, staff from the most recent election cycle into voter-registration efforts. Between community college students, new Microsoft employees, and just general growth, there are enough unregistered future voters out there to make Reichert sweat. The Eastside is already sending Democrats to the state legislature—a few thousand more registered Ds would send a strong candidate to an easy victory.

Finally, King County is set to go to all-absentee voting in 2009. Once ballots start going out to every voter in mid-October, the Ds will have two full weeks to nag their people to send in their damn ballots.

Look at Eastern Pierce County

Although it's a small part of the district in terms of population, eastern Pierce County is the Democrats' biggest problem. They really, really like to vote for Republicans out there. Instead of running from that fact, we need to hit it head on. Most of these voters are working class, which means Democrats traditionally have avoided the area like the 20-block radius around Nordy's Half-Yearly Sale.

Which is dumb. Lets start with the fact that Reichert smashed Burner in Pierce County: 58.5 percent to 42 percent. OUCH, that is going to leave a bruise. I'm not arguing we can win a majority out there, but we need to stop letting Reichert run up the score so we have such a high hill to climb in King County. I would suggest doing targeted issues research just in Pierce County. What matters to them?

The 8th is really at least two separate districts, and the Dems should look at it that way. Don't poll districtwide; poll by county. Don't set up a single campaign office in downtown Bellevue; set up two: one in Bellevue and one in downtown Orting. Target mail and cable TV ads at these two very different groups of voters. Use the issues you uncover in your research to pound away at Reichert.

Again, we're not going to win here—they did pick Bush over Kerry—but c'mon, let's trip the Rs up a bit.

Make It a Local Race

Congressional races always tend to focus on national issues, because they're sexy. But the actual scale of this race is much smaller than that. Instead of only debating the war(s) and the Wall Street bailout, start talking about schools, roads, and parks. Reichert has gotten REALLY good at voting just far enough left on the sexy stuff to hold onto his seat without upsetting whichever DeLay wannabe is the top R in the House at the moment. His moderate-seeming voting record makes him hard for Democrats to hit, because there just isn't a lot to shoot at.

So change the conversation. Make Reichert spend money and oxygen bending over backward on local issues instead of skating along on the fact that he occasionally votes the Dems' way on the environment—for example, on the Wild Sky bill. Are any of us really against federal funds to support our firefighters, teachers, and transportation? Of course not. As a Republican, Reichert is supposed to be against expanding government spending. As a representative of the 8th District, Reichert would have to tie himself in knots to oppose expanding those programs. So make him.

Hit Reichert on His Record as Sheriff

I know, I know, he caught the Green River Killer. Well, there's a lot more to his record than just Gary Ridgway. First, there's the stunningly crooked Dan Ring case, which had a deputy neck-deep in a corruption case involving prostitution and drug use. That case occurred on Reichert's watch, and he meddled in the investigation by kicking the FBI off the case. (It's in the P-I!)

Also, (sacred cow alert!) there's a fair amount of evidence that Reichert mismanaged the Green River investigation by assuming there was another suspect even though the investigators had questioned Ridgway early on in the case. Finally, just watch the Ridgway interrogation tapes. Reichert himself interviewed him (uh... why?), and he postures and mugs for the camera like he learned his questioning tactics from Reno 911! Get all this information to the voters. His record as sheriff is the foundation of his campaigns, and it is not so shiny.

Beating Reichert won't be easy. He's been in that seat for six years now and the Rs have invested a ton in him to keep that seat in Republican hands. That said, the 8th is a Democratic congressional district. Period. It's time for the Democrats to focus on getting the district a congressperson who truly represents its values.

Marco Lowe is an unrepentant politico. He has worked for more than a decade, unshaven and wearing a Seahawks T-shirt, on a number of campaigns of otherwise respectable officials. After an expensive and cold trip back East for grad school, he returned to Seattle with a perfectly timed career jump into the imploding real-estate industry. recommended

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Comments (32) RSS

Oldest First Unregistered On Registered On Add a comment
1
Finally someone brings up the sacred cow.....thanks, and right on.
Posted by inoright on December 4, 2008 at 3:17 PM · Report
2
I'm ready to put on my Adidas and knock on some doors to get this haircut out of Congress!
Posted by Flex Turbo on December 4, 2008 at 3:52 PM · Report
3
Good analysis. Echoes of Tip O'Neill -- "all politics is local" and Karl Rove "attack your opponent's strength."

Posted by michael on December 4, 2008 at 4:13 PM · Report
4
I'm so ready to see this guy go - thanks for the roadmap!
Posted by primavera2002 on December 4, 2008 at 4:24 PM · Report
5
Never gunna happen! Sorry folks, you guys haven't been able to prove that he is a lockstep Republican (and he's not) in a district that votes for Democrats up-and-down the ticket. It must just eat away at you guys...
Posted by Scott Olson on December 4, 2008 at 4:56 PM · Report
6
What he is saying makes sense. With the right candidiate, the D's can defeat Dave. The author even suggests some good candidates who could do it.
Posted by Bryan on December 4, 2008 at 6:50 PM · Report
7
Solid analysis Marco - thanks!
Posted by SJarding on December 4, 2008 at 6:59 PM · Report
8
It just bugs me to see that guy in congress still. Will someone take him out!
Posted by TheTruthHurts on December 4, 2008 at 7:01 PM · Report
9
Well, I have a different view. First, Burner was not a good candidate and second she did not run a good campaign. I know, it's not P.C. to say that kind of thing but until we face the facts we will never get away from them.
About Reichert: in his heart he is a Democrat. His tie to the R's is only based on culture war issues. On the environment, on labor, on healthcare and on most other matters he is much closer to us than to them. With the new administration and Congress I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if he began to vote even more Democratic. There will be far less pressure on him to stick with his caucus. If we are to beat him we will have to do it like we would take on any incumbent Democrat. We'll have to run to the left of him, and given that we can expect that all of our politics will be moving to the left we'll be giving him a lot of room to add conservative Dems to his Republican base. And Lieberman proved that in that situation our chances are deminished to the vanishing point.
Posted by jeffsmith on December 4, 2008 at 9:45 PM · Report
10
I'm glad you spent time talking about the Pierce Co. portion of the district, but let's not forget southeast King County, either. Yes, this is the "eastside" district, but it is also Kent, Maple Valley, Auburn, and Covington's district. These areas are truly swing. You can sip all the wine with the eastside tech moguls that you want, but if you don't come down and chug some whiskey with the Boeing machinists, they won't vote for you.
Posted by Lt. Frank Drebin on December 5, 2008 at 8:08 AM · Report
11
Lt. Drebin, (I did not know the Stranger was read by so many celebs!)

Good points. That SE area of King Co. is still fairly working class, and obviously the communities are not totally opposite once you cross the county line to Pierce. Having been in SE King a fair amount, I would say it is more of a blend of Bellevue and Orting...so call them Suburbal or Rurban.
Posted by Marco Lowe on December 5, 2008 at 10:01 AM · Report
12
Nail 'em up!
Posted by ESullivan on December 5, 2008 at 10:19 AM · Report
13
Reichert is a Republican puppet. He votes D when the big guys in the R Party let him so he has something to campaign on back home. Reichert said as much in a speech to the Yakima R base a few years back.
He was an okay deputy, lousy sheriff, and is an ineffective congressman. Past time to vote him out.
Posted by irons on December 5, 2008 at 10:32 AM · Report
14
I have to agree with jeffsmith. Burner was not a good candidate. I worked on the Ross campaign. I sent him money the day he announced. I sat in Mrco's office and talked politics with him.
Dave could speak intelligently about anything. Darcy, not so much. I was very disappointed when folks like Goldie, who doesn't live in the district. made it almost impossible for anyone to challenge Burner in the primary. The people in the 8th should decide their candidates, not the bloggers in Seattle.
The 8th is a funny place. Many of us have felt the boot of democratic Seattle on land use issues. We have the only active land fill in King County [it was suppose to close in 1989]. All of the fill material for the third runway came down our roads and we have the cracked windshields to show for it. Most of us couldn't get to Seattle on a bus unless we wanted to spend half the day getting there and the other half of the day getting back. In many ways, we feel [and I'm not talking about Bellevue here] as if we are the county's dumping ground.
Marco is right about east Pierce county but he neglects Maple Valley, east Renton, Enumclaw and the rest of us living in the forgotten hinderlands of King County.
Posted by jamesb on December 5, 2008 at 12:21 PM · Report
15
Interesting article, though I'm not sure why The Stranger needed to add another over-educated under-talented writer to their mess that was put out this week. Enough about Marco and onto the piece. I think that the point about Burner not being a good candidate is a good one (other than the great fundraising - never to be underestimated). The district really doesn't change at the county line. Enumclaw is a lot more like Bonney Lake and Eatonville than Bellevue. If Chris Hurst (someone who will doorbell and no one would accuse of being an effete wine snob) is the Dem candidate, we win the district hands down. State Sen Rodney Tom would be a really great candidate. Incredible doorbeller, fundraiser, and solid moderate credentials - though in truth he is pretty darn liberal. Not a lot to complain about with the other points in the article. Let's hit Reichert right in his nut sack and put our best foot(s) forward.
Posted by Hizzoner on December 5, 2008 at 1:16 PM · Report
16
Interesting article, though I'm not sure why The Stranger needed to add another over-educated under-talented writer to their mess that was put out this week. Enough about Marco and onto the piece. I think that the point about Burner not being a good candidate is a good one (other than the great fundraising - never to be underestimated). The district really doesn't change at the county line. Enumclaw is a lot more like Bonney Lake and Eatonville than Bellevue. If Chris Hurst (someone who will doorbell and no one would accuse of being an effete wine snob) is the Dem candidate, we win the district hands down. State Sen Rodney Tom would be a really great candidate. Incredible doorbeller, fundraiser, and solid moderate credentials - though in truth he is pretty darn liberal. Not a lot to complain about with the other points in the article. Let's hit Reichert right in his nut sack and put our best foot(s) forward.
Posted by Hizzoner on December 5, 2008 at 1:23 PM · Report
17
Interesting article, though I'm not sure why The Stranger needed to add another over-educated under-talented writer to their mess that was put out this week. Enough about Marco and onto the piece. I think that the point about Burner not being a good candidate is a good one (other than the great fundraising - never to be underestimated). The district really doesn't change at the county line. Enumclaw is a lot more like Bonney Lake and Eatonville than Bellevue. If Chris Hurst (someone who will doorbell and no one would accuse of being an effete wine snob) is the Dem candidate, we win the district hands down. State Sen Rodney Tom would be a really great candidate. Incredible doorbeller, fundraiser, and solid moderate credentials - though in truth he is pretty darn liberal. Not a lot to complain about with the other points in the article. Let's hit Reichert right in his nut sack and put our best foot(s) forward.
Posted by Hizzoner on December 5, 2008 at 1:42 PM · Report
18
Ok, but last I heard Reichert wasn't running for a 3rd term. The R would mostly likely be Reagan Dunn.
Posted by Daniel on December 5, 2008 at 3:09 PM · Report
19
"Hizzoner"? Nice try Mom but I can spot your writing a mile away.
Posted by Marco Lowe on December 5, 2008 at 3:47 PM · Report
20
Darcy was a great candidate in many ways, but you're definitely right that someone with more experience will have a better shot. Let's hope one of the great Ds in the state legislature from the 8th will run.
Posted by seattleksger on December 5, 2008 at 7:03 PM · Report
21
I don't know if Burner was a good candidate or a bad one, but this time she was the wrong candidate. One of the hardest things to do in elections is to convince voters that they made a mistake the last time out. I'm sure Rossi would now agree. If the energy and resources given to Burner had been spent on a different candidate, they might have broken through voters' natural apathy and resulted in a Democratic win.
Posted by BobRosenberger on December 5, 2008 at 11:15 PM · Report
22
hey - hot air is cheap - and I never thought Darcy could beat anyone.

her campaign was horrid. She was running against Bush, didn't work. Looking for house fire sympathy, didn't work. Pumped her credentials up - bad bad media in the storm, didn't work. Darcy has the spark of a dishwasher going to community college.

1. ... Better candidate by 10 - male - handsome - telegenic and VERY energetic to appeal to younger voters who might sway.

Never mention or involve Darcy, the loss lady.

2.... get some sounding about the three issues the district really cares cares cares about. That is your platform. Be prepared, one will be roads. Throttle and block all the off the wall greens, rads, big mouths and other small time Seattle players from your campaign. Sorry the eastside has total contempt for that sector in ALL political matters.... hate is a better word. Eastside people only, others no profile or very low. Take their money only.

3...I do not agree with the Sheriff record attack. It all breaks in his favor, all all all. I do not know if there were betters way to do anything back then. Neither does anyone else who votes. Just sounds so thin thin thin. He is a hero of sorts, local hero of sorts, and by attacking that part of his record without REAL scandal, you say the voters who like him are stupid, nothing else. And you are on HIS message, even in the attempted negative. Each time you say Green River, his message, his message. The killer is in prison, the pain is over, Credit goes to the Sheriff, sorry, that is the way it breaks.

4. MUST have extensive political record - sort of better expert theme - in an area that likes experts. Darcy did not even improve his area in the two years between campaigns - she must be stubborn, cause it was so needed, better political resume.

6 ...Hire better media people. She got sacked on the two degree thing by her own media voice. Had she at the FIRST chance reconsidered her remarks to a degree and many extra classes, describe here, in econ she would have built her quasi expert status. As it played - she made her self seem like a liar. That cost here dearly in Bellevue and Kirkland, the real eastside, who value education above life.

5 ... Good luck, he is now entrenched.

6. The comments on N. Pierce and South King are right on ... hire Marco do do field. Not sexy and real work - Bruner botched that as well.

7 ... Her ads were flat, she is flat, pablum tastes better. Video buzz needed with top over the lake stuff, action, energy, drama, BETTER ads are key, this is not 1985. Someone made a ton of money with little skill... far from the brilliance needed to take him out. The kid is a one time nothing - kids abound over there - fertitity is a one time issue. handsome husband would have helped, nice couple on the rise, not baby boy. Felt a bit like a child prop.... and the kid is ordinary. Boy wonder didn't seem to be the attempted appeal. We all love our own kids, few look or act like a Shirley Temple. Not Darcy's kid for sure.

More...
Posted by From Bellevue High Grad on December 6, 2008 at 12:23 PM · Report
23
The 2010 census will lead to new district lines in 2012. There is also speculation that Reichert will run for US senator in 2010 or 2012.
Posted by PeterM on December 6, 2008 at 4:32 PM · Report
24
I thought that DNA solved the Green River Case.

I never quite understood how people let Reichert take credit for a case where he overlooked the real killer for decades until DNA saved his butt.

Hey but that's just a Canadian's POV...
Posted by grvyguru on December 8, 2008 at 3:55 PM · Report
25
WTF? The Stranger, giving a shit about the Eastside? Fuck off.
Posted by Frank on December 9, 2008 at 10:13 PM · Report
26
I thought Darcy Burner was a loon, but Marco Lowe give dimwittery a new slant.

The first sentence shows that he needs to go back to 1st grade and watch some more Warner Brother cartoons.

"Reichert (R-8) is starting to look like the Wile E. Coyote of Eastside politics. Every two years, a challenger drops an Acme safe on the congressman in a brutal campaign to unseat him. But when the dust settles, there he is—still standing"

WHAT? It's the Coyote who would drop the safe on the unsuspecting Roadrunner who minds his own business and simply escapes.

If this guy can't get his cartoons straight, how is he going to run a campaign?!?
Posted by Mbeep! Mbeep! on December 9, 2008 at 10:57 PM · Report
27
After the 2010 census when Congressional redistricting again occurs, the SE King County and Pierce County portions of the 8th should be sliced off and put in Doc Hastings Eastern Washington District. Stick all the bubbas together and we can forget about them.
Posted by ratcityreprobate on December 10, 2008 at 9:07 AM · Report
28
Hi all,

Thanks for the well done post, Marco.

And it's right on track about bringing up the Green River case, except that it's way too understated.

Rather than using words like "mismanaged," a more accurate way to put it is that through either incompetence or corruption, Reichert allowed scores of women to be brutally murdered. These women suffered horrible deaths even though Ridgeway's identity was known from early on (the 7th victim's boyfriend let Reichert know the license plate of the killer).

In all other ways Reichert is an appealing guy and an adequate congressman, and the dems are going to be wasting everybody's time and money unless they spend one whole election cycle addressing this problem and other problems of Reichert's past, which I find is not known even to Seattle liberals.

Thanks all,

New Left Conservative #1




Posted by New Left Conservative #1 on December 10, 2008 at 10:47 PM · Report
29
Burner is a bad candidate for the eastside and is more suited to a Seattle audience. Not too surprising that she lost even in a big Dem turnout. When Bagdad Jim retires, maybe she can take his place.
Posted by thatcher on December 12, 2008 at 7:15 PM · Report
30
For better advice, talk to Tim Ceis.
Posted by Works at the county on December 18, 2008 at 6:18 PM · Report
31
Darcy was weak an ineffective. Having Microsoft as a middle name is not a plus.
Posted by padua on December 21, 2008 at 9:47 AM · Report
32
I think that these were pretty good points. I heard Reichert speak on a few occasions thanks to a High School politics group, and I think I have a few more things to add. Whoever is picked as candidate must have a presence. Reichert walks into a room and owns it, he captivates audiences, almost like a republican version of Obama. The local hero description is a true one as well. Reichert has the strength of being attached to personal safety in the minds of many in Washington who remember the days of the Green River killings (say what you will about the handling of the case). The dems need to get serious if they want the seat, and seriously need to find a candidate who can captivate the public in the manner that Reichert can.
Posted by Alex on December 28, 2008 at 1:00 AM · Report

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