Debunking the So-Called Bike Backlash
A New Poll Finds that Seattle Loves Cyclists, Wants Protected Bicycle Lanes, and Thinks Recent Anti-Bike Rhetoric Is a Load of Crap
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Reading the city's daily newspaper, you'd think that Seattle is awash in anti-bicycle sentiment. Everyone from neighborhood leaders to politicians agrees, the Seattle Times insists: The city has given too much to bikes already. You'd think bike lanes were part of a Machiavellian plot to push people out of their cars.
Stranger Personals
"I think it's been working for them, unfortunately," laments Cascade Bicycle Club political director Craig Benjamin. Elected officials and candidates are increasingly convinced that voters hate bikes.
For instance, the Seattle Times loves to riff on a theme about a "war on cars," with their editorial writers saying that drivers are being "shoved aside" for the "transfer of asphalt to bicycle lanes." The paper confidently declares that "now is not the time to fund bicycle improvements." Then there are the busybodies at neighborhood meetings, such as one who recently told Seattle City Council's Transportation Committee chair that "bicyclists are militant and looking to cause a conflict whenever they can."
But, as a new poll shows, most people in Seattle don't believe that anti-bicycle rhetoric.
They believe the opposite.
A January 17 report by FM3, a policy-focused opinion research firm, shows that Seattle voters overwhelmingly like cyclists—78 percent have a favorable opinion—and most of the city's residents actually ride a bike. What's even more contrary to conventional wisdom: By a two-to-one margin, voters support removing traffic lanes and some on-street parking to build bicycle lanes that are physically separated from cars.
"There's strong public support for making it safer for people to ride in Seattle, and there's a large percentage of people who would want to ride if we make those investments," says Benjamin, whose group commissioned the poll of 400 Seattle voters. It has a margin of error of 4.9 percent. And while some might argue that an advocacy group paid for the survey—and some naysayers will—FM3 is a reputable Democratic pollster with plenty of experience conducting surveys and advising everyone from small-time candidates to Senator Patty Murray.
As the city faces a crowded, high-profile mayor's race this year, candidates are probably thinking about ways to bring down incumbent mayor Mike McGinn. His regular bike riding has been a target for some opponents, and the Seattle Times derides him with the nickname "McSchwinn." Over the last few years, this sort of anti-cyclist rhetoric has been ramped up into a wedge issue (apparently to pressure the mayor and the city council into withholding money from the Bicycle Master Plan, which is only about one-quarter funded).
The problem is that this is a losing wedge issue. Anti-bicycle advocates speak for less than one-third of Seattle residents. These holdouts, the polling shows, are largely older, white, conservative men. Candidates who pander to those blocs with anti-bike talking points will be losing more votes than they're gaining.
Benjamin put it succinctly: "People aren't buying the story they're telling, and they don't agree with it." ![]()
This article has been updated since its original publication.
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Basics of polling and how sample sizes work:
"Public opinion researchers liken it to making a big pot of soup — to taste-test the soup, you don't have to eat the whole pot, or even a whole bowl's worth. You only have to try a bite. The same is true of public opinion."
http://www.publicagenda.org/pages/best-e…
Build your own sample size:
http://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm
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http://www.bikingpugetsound.com/article_…
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Hah! Sorry if I think that polls of negligible sizes paid for by a particular agency are a bit recockulous. Have I done a poll on this topic? No. But I do talk to people outside this echo chamber of a newspaper.
Of course, I also don't swallow everything fed by this paper, especially where it concerns Mayor McGinn worship, as this definitely is.
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"Only 400 people!?" Yup. That'll give a 95% confidence level for a population of Seattle's size (~621k). Adding 200 more if you want 99% confidence level.
95% is quite sufficient for measuring this sort of sentiment.
So, you perceive reality a certain way, different from this actual poll.
But until you go do a poll - with a highly respected polling firm - of a representative sample of Seattleites, you're talking in your microcosm.
We're talking actual evidence, instead of the anecdote.
They, and their tame newspaper, both had relied on the "angry-old-white-men-who-love-their-cars" demographic. This demographic, the NPA party and the newspaper are sinking fast.
Meanwhile, similar pre-election voter polls showed similar levels of support as in Seattle for both cycling and the then-new downtown separated bike lanes. This prompted one wag to say: "The bike lanes are more popular than the NPA".
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Doing a whole fucking article about one fucking poll that is paid for by a biased group and finishing it off with sucking the cock of a shitty mayor is hardly journalism. If anything it is a free press release for McGinn.
But, you know, all that is anecdotal. Go on with your bad self believing in one poll of a supposed sampling size paid for by a shill group published by a biased newspaper that can't even figure out why people are voting for Eyman initiatives against their recommendations.
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Commuting on bike in the winter scares the crap out of me the older I get (ten years ago I couldn't careless or it just didn't phase me). But biking from NE Seattle to downtown in the evenings along Eastlake scares the shit out of me. As does biking in downtown Seattle with most of the drivers who don't give a fuck about anyone except themselves and who they are on their cell phones with.
Your quotes from the Times, which you attribute to "editorial writers," come from a single 2010 Joni Balter column. That would be writer-singular, in case you're counting. You also leave out this quote from said column, which talked about budget priorities:
"As an avid runner, and occasional biker, I bear no deep-seated opposition to more recreational or commuter space for each and every group. At least theoretically. As a taxpayer, I say hold your spandex bike tights on a minute."
The rest of your blather is equally overstated. A search for "war on cars" in the Times archives yields 18 hits. Some are duplicates. Four are letters to the editor. One is a guest opinion by a developer, which prompted some letter-writing pushback.
One hit is a column by Westneat, debunking the war-on-cars myth. Another is a post by the Times librarian, also debunking the myth and tracing the origin of the term to a conservative think tank.
Two actual news stories pop up. One quotes Councilman O'Brien dismissing war on cars talk. The other examines the influence of the Cascade Bicycle Club in the wake of McGinn's election - a perfectly legitimate topic.
As for the Times deriding the mayor with the McSchwinn label, you could stand to be more accurate. Most of the time, the nickname comes from columnist Ron Judd, the outdoorsy guy who used to write for Outside Magazine - you know, a real bike-hater.
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So shocking :-/
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These findings are not that different from another poll conducted by that evil pro-bike lobbying group PEMCO Auto Insurance that says that the overwhelming majority of Washington residents favor pro-bike legislation, or this other one conducted in 2007 by WSDOT that revealed that 76% of non-cyclists would like to make it easier for cycling.
http://www.pemco.com/about_us/Pages/Bike…
http://www.wsdot.wa.gov/NR/rdonlyres/E09…
Of course, those groups probably have an agenda whereas you're some guy who's upset about something. Who to believe?!
Did you see his post Monday attacking the Times for not being fair to McGinn? He had actually tried to take credit with getting the Times to change a story, when it truth it was changed long before he even posted his complaint.
I pointed out why he was wrong, and he stood by it, updated the post and argued back in the comments. Then I pointed out why he again was further wrong, and he suddenly disappeared without comment. Sadly, there are plenty of people who believe what he writes as truth, but if he keeps doing this he's going to lose credibility even with them.
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And, where in that WSDOT study do you find 76%. The only places 76% is mentioned as a figure is as the percentage of non-bikers saying that they would recommend more biking facilities as a way to make it easier to bike. No other statistic is 76%. In fact, at the highest, 70% said they supported making it safer for bikers if AND ONLY IF there were no new taxes. While that figure drops to 45% if there are new taxes. Also, the survey failed to ask what funds they would like to see funds be diverted from, as a follow-up.
Basically, stop lying.
The point is that Dominic uses cheap and distorted snips to draw lazy conclusions. You're blaming me for a quick web search, but you excuse Dominic for greater indolence as long as his rhetoric suits your worldview.
My quick search found Times writers debunking the war-on-cars myth. I see no evidence that Dominic even tried that hard. Just the opposite. He characterizes one writer's column as the work of "writers," while conveniently leaving out the context of the discussion (overall budget issues) and omitting the writer's self-penned caveat. Do you suggest that's honest? If so, tell me why.
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But to the original point, I'm sorry nobody asked you about your feelings before conducting this poll. But that doesn't make it wrong.
As a long-time bike commuter who shares the road with cars, I call BS on bike lanes making my commute more safe.
http://blogs.seattletimes.com/fyi-guy/20…
Other than the fact that, for whatever reason, YOU seem to hate cyclists?
(I'm not a cyclist myself, just can't understand why anyone would have it in for them. No city has ever been made worse overall by being made more bike-friendly, and there's no way Seattle would be a better city if the bicylists were told to fuck off and die.
Don't drivers pretty much have everything they need from the city as it is?)
If you follow the links through and read the reports, even the 2012 SDOT survey the troll mentions the "volatility" of this particular number year-to-year.
Regarding sample size: 400 people is a more than generous sample size for the City of Seattle, and well within norms. Most of the statewide polling done for the presidential race last year used a sample size of 400-600, with the most rigorous ones (usually the ones that PPP performed) having sample sizes around 1000 and MoE around 3%.
Bicylist doesn't equal "anti-worker elitist" y'know.
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@40) This article appeared in print, not on Slog, so it couldn't include a file with the full polling results. But I've since posted the full polling memo on Slog.
If you stick to streets with little traffic (e.g. residential) or streets with plenty of room for drivers to pass (e.g. center turn lane or two lanes in each direction), drivers won't be stuck behind you as much.
If you're cranking up a steep hill, you might consider the sidewalk. If you're barreling down 2nd downtown, take the middle lane.
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And Will is none of the things you say. Among other things, he is a member of the 36th District precinct organization.
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Dominic could be a better journalist if he stopped being a press release dept and started thinking critically. Also his revisionist tendencies are terrible sometimes, especially regarding cycling (yes, Dominic, nobody has forgotten that Critical Mass politicized cycling).
But, oh yeah, we're not supposed to be critical of the paper we're reading, right? Don't analyze shit! Just go with it. Fuck. If you can't be critical of things, your voter card should be taken away, conservative or liberal.
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Bikes snarl traffic. Sucks but true. Until there is infracstructure that gets them out of the way and gives them their own lane I dont buy that they're saving the big picture environment, theyre just slowing the commute.
And to say almost 80% of Seattle is pro bike is bullshit, that doesn't pass the smell test.
Also, almost all of us do not have cars. You in your car are the one creating traffic, not me on my bike.
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The teabaggers who read and operate the Seattle times are lower than whale shit but still need to get over their hate and show some respect by giving 3ft space when passing bikes.
Parking was removed from my street to create bike lanes that go unused 24/7. These lanes changed traffic patterns and have made them now dangerously crazy. But McGinn gave jobs to people who paint useless lines on city streets, so I guess that's something.
No love for cyclists where I live (but then I don't live on Capital Hill or in Fremont or Ballard).
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Did the 400 in the sample complete this survey at their CASCADE Bike Club meeting.
SKEWED...They should be skewered.








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