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Suzan DelBene is acting like she wants to clear the field. In February, almost two years before Eastside Republican congressman Dave Reichert will stand for reelection, the former Microsoft executive announced her intent to take him down. Though a political newcomer, she then posted early fundraising numbers that give her a bigger war chest than Reichert—based largely on her own donation of $200,000. When asked, DelBene spokeswoman Kelly Evans said she didn't know of any other Democrats who are think about getting into the race.
That's surprising, though, because it's not hard to find Democrats who are pondering alternatives to DelBene. They're concerned that her profile—politically untested former Microsoftie—overlaps too much with that of failed two-time Reichert challenger Darcy Burner, whose losses were heartbreaking for Democrats looking to swing the 8th District into liberal hands. They're also alarmed by the news, first reported on The Stranger's blog, that DelBene failed to vote in nine elections over the last four years (including the 2006 general election, when the seat she now wants was up for grabs). "Logic dictates that a person who hasn't been voting is going to have a virtually impossible time getting elected in the 8th District," said state representative Chris Hurst (D-31), who represents the southern portion of Reichert's district. "You don't really get past that issue."
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State senator Rodney Tom (D-48), who represents the northern portion of the district, and briefly entered the 8th District congressional race in 2007 before bowing out to give Burner a clear shot, said that DelBene's voting record is "going to hurt her." He added: "I just think that Congress isn't a place where you start your political career... Not only have I voted in elections, but I have literally thousands of votes that I've taken on issues, and people can know where I stand."
Neither man would say whether he's decided to challenge DelBene in the Democratic primary, but both names are on the lips of Democrats who say the field is far from cleared. "If Rodney Tom decided to get into this race in November or December, he'd have plenty of time," one prominent Democrat said. The political calculus is apparent: Tom, a former Republican, could appeal to conservatives in this swing district, and Hurst, a former police detective, could neutralize the law-and-order appeal of Reichert, a former King County sheriff.
Evans said potential challengers "will have to evaluate" DelBene's
high early fundraising numbers, but Hurst, who said he gets appeals
from Democrats to run on "an every-other-day
basis," scoffed at
the idea that DelBene's money would intimidate him. "If I announced for
this race, I could make two phone calls, and within 24 hours that
amount of money would look like a joke," he said. ![]()
But go ahead, Chris. I, for one, would love to see your xenophobic paranoid delusional arrogant ass wiped all over the floor by DelBene.
Or does that standard only apply to women?
The idiots slamming him don't realize the moment he announces he gets tons of money without even making a call so the nerdy mathematical uptight "argument" about the donation limites times phone calls is myopic at best, dihonest at worse. Sounds like someone working for DelBene btw.
And yes they are clones because voters spend about 20 seconds thinking about the race and after you say former MS exec they think DelBene is Burner.
DelBene is already a loser. She will have a million $ in TV ads knocking her for NOT VOTING IN ELECTIONS and she has NO GOOD ANSWER and the whole campaign will be her on defense. Do not back this loser.
Get Hurst, or Tom, or even that Ross Hunter (he could run and lose for county exec., keep the lists and team together and fo right into a run for congress using the county exec race as a warm up. )
Who really wants to vote for the workaholic boss of their boss?
He's obviously boasting that with two phone calls, he would set in motion other people who would make more phone calls, and these combined efforts would result in many donations over a 24 hour period that would top the partisan hack's candidate's $300,000. Which is without a doubt quite a thing to boast, in of itself. There's no need to deliberately misinterpret the meaning if you want to criticize.
The problem is her voting record. I'm not in the 8th district but I'd vote against her in a primary for that alone, unless her opponents were pure poison.
Bruner was a BETTER candidate.
Hurst gets tons of money without making a phone call? Really? From whom? Is it legal?
Because the only money that candidate for Congress can raise must come from individuals (limited to $2400 per person per election) or federally-registered PACs (limited to $5000 per person per election), or from the state or national Democratic Party (limited to $5000 for the state party and $5000 for the national party per election). See http://www.fec.gov/info/contriblimits091… for more information.
So you're telling me that Christ Hurst - who has never raised $300,000 total for any election in his life - will with a couple of phone calls raise more than $300k?
Yeah - and I have a chunk of the Brooklyn Bridge I'd like to sell you.
Plenty of people talk a big game; few people are willing to actually do the work. DelBene, to her credit, is doing the work. Hurst is just spouting off.
Ross has battled lymphoma to a standstill, and I'm guessing that his family would rather they see as much of him as they can while they can. I don't blame him one bit.
I'm still waiting for DelBene's supporters (and I talk to plenty of them) to tell me what she has ever done in this life that qualifies her for a seat in Congress -- what she knows about public policy, at the very least.
I remember posing the same challenge to Darcy Burner, and to Darcy's credit, she went out and got the answers. We'll see what DelBene does about that.
Right now I spend a good part of my time as a Precinct Committee Officer getting out the vote. Why would I give a rat's about someone who can't be bothered to vote, much less support them for Congress?
Hurst or Tom absolutely would get my support if either of them ran. In my experience they are both stand-up guys.
Christopher Hurst, State Representative
31st Legislative District, Democrat
As a voter in the 8th District who votes for Democrats in 90%+ of cases, I would never vote for you.
It isn't as if there were no opportunities over the years to get involved and make a name for yourself. It's just that those opportunities lacked celebrity stardom and franking privileges.
There are other candidates I'd certainly be happy to support in the 8th: State Sen Claudia Kauffman, former State Sen Marilyn Rasmussen, State Rep Tom Campbell, State Rep Zack Hudgins, State Sen Rodney Tom, and plenty of others, both previously elected and not. All I ask is that they (a) be willing to do the work; (b) support the basic premises on which our country was founded, including the fundamental equality of all persons.
Suzan DelBene is far from perfect, but is working hard and as far as I can tell supports those founding ideals. She is, right now, the *only* candidate in the race: nobody else is working for this at all right now. If some other person in the district is willing to outwork her and any other contenders to get the nomination, fantastic. But who's stepping up?
As for Chris Hurst, he fails on part (b) due to his anti-Hispanic racism. I don't support racists for public office, whatever party they belong to.
It's nice to hear that you would support Zack Hudgins in the 8th. Zack at least is a Democrat. Only thing is, Zack lives in the 7th District.
So pardon me, but I'm not real impressed with your political analysis.
1. To campaign manager (likely, a staffer who volunteers for the campaign after hours): hey, go ahead and file my candidate papers! And send out that press release.
2. To finance chair, please get out a fundraising letter asap to my list of 30,000.
Duh.
DelBene is a loser with a huge "I did not vote" albatross.
In modern politics, it may be better to be loved than feared -- but it still is no good at all to start the race being laughed at.
Like most voters on the eastside, I split tickets for both Democrats and Republicans; I like Tom Campbell. And conveniently there is no requirement that people live in the districts they want to represent in Congress. To already be representing portion of the district likely would give either Campbell or Hudgins credibility - though it would obviously be easier if they moved.
But Ivan, your astute political analysis from West Seattle is obviously superior to that of someone who actually lives and votes here, right?
Hurst could reach people by USPS mail or email. If he did USPS mail, how big is his donor list? If he had a list of 30,000 donors as Nicholi suggests (*very* unlikely), it would cost about $15k to mail, and if he got a response rate of 2.5% and an average donation of $50 (both pretty generous estimates, especially in this economy), he'd raise $37,500 and net $22,500. That a far cry from what DelBene has raised, and relies on a whole bunch of overly-generous assumptions.
Let's say he does email instead. If he has an email list of 30,000 donors (also extremely unlikely), and he emails them, the response rate for email is lucky to be 1% and the average donation unlikely to be greater than $50, so while his costs would be lower - only a couple hundred dollars - he'd only raise about $15,000, even with generous assumptions. Again, no go.
So suppose he's assuming that the call he makes is to someone in the labor movement. Well, the problem is that for federal office, all of the checks come from the internationals, not the local labor groups. I don't think there was a House candidate in the country who raised $300,000 from labor last cycle - and most of that money comes late. Again, strikeout for Hurst.
Finally, perhaps he thinks the call he makes is to the Democratic Party, and they shower money on him. Okay, you show me a single instance in any district in the United States last cycle where any House candidate in a contested primary against an incumbent was handed a bunch of money by the party - either directly or bundled. No dice.
Hurst is bluffing - badly.
Frankly, DelBene could at least make the argument that an EMILY's List mailing would raise her about $100k in a short period of time, which is better than Hurst is going to do from any one source.
(1) I don't live in West Seattle and (2) judging from your posts here, I'll match my political analysis of the 8th CD against yours any time.
It's fine to come out and say that DelBene hasn't pandered enough to the Democratic party yet to expect party support - and that you're a party support guy. And it's perfectly fine to say that you'll take your current elected Democrats regardless of their flaws, in fine yellow dog Democrat tradition. But let's at least be honest about what the state of things is.
It's May 2009 and the election is in November 2010. That's being perfectly honest about the state of things.
Quit bothering me with your crap. Keep pimping a candidate who can't even be bothered to vote.
All I have heard from DelBene supporters is how much money she has raised and what a great campaign team she has recruited.
She has 18 months to show Democrats that there's more than that, and that they should bother working for her.
Darcy Burner did more poorly in the southern part of the 8th in 2008 than she had done in 2006. What evidence is there that DelBene would do any better there?
There's none. You got nothing, and so does your candidate. Unless she has video of Reichert fucking a sheep, she couldn't beat him with an AK-47. So quit bothering me.
Second, you seem to be opposed to DelBene because you don't feel she can win the district. Obviously any candidate running will need to figure out where they get the votes from - though a vote is a vote is a vote, they're not geographically weighted. If she can get the Republicans in Medina to vote for her and give her the margin she needs, great.
And, by the way, the race can also be LOST by a candidate in any part of the district. I'd wager Hurst would get far fewer votes in Bellevue and Medina than DelBene, or Tom, or Hunter. His appearance will not play so well with affluent soccer moms (especially in comparison to Reichert); it's not clear to me how he gets the Microsofties who pervade the northern part of the district to vote for him when they'll think he's, well, a muppet. How does he win if he loses those votes?
As to racism, when an elected official in their communications with their constituents blames "Hispanics" for the ills of the district and the state, as Chris Hurst has done, that's racist. Perhaps that sort of racism plays well where he lives, but it won't play so well in many of the other parts of the district. And while you're welcome to be in denial that it is and will be a problem for him, it's easy pickings for anyone running against him in a primary or general. Ask him to send you his district newsletters since 2006; I'm sure he'd be happy to oblige you.
Ultimately, as someone who actually gets a vote in the race in question, I'd be happy to send DelBene to Congress. I'd be happy to send Rodney Tom to Congress. I'd love to have a chance to choose between them in a primary. But I found it offensive to read an article that whacked DelBene in ways that it would not have she were a he, and I found Chris Hurst's comments absurd. He is all hat, no cattle, and while I don't think he actually has the guts to run, I'd almost love to see it happen just to watch his annhiliation.
The last thing we need is an experienced politician.
Look at the mess our state is in. Look at the mess our country is in. Look at the mess our county is in.
About time a smart business person decided to do what's right and run.
Out with the politically experienced! In with those who can make good decisions! Self-financing? Great...not beholden to anyone.





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