LET'S GO DEMOCRATIC MAJORITY.
LET'S GO DEMOCRATIC MAJORITY. Getty

Tick. Tock. Tick. Tock.

Washingtonā€™s Legislature has 35 days to rustle up an extra $1 billion to meet the state Supreme Courtā€™s deadline finish a mandate to fix the stateā€™s schools in Grades K-3.

That timetable looks extremely tight with no sure plan in sight.

With the Democrats in charge of both the Senate and House, itā€™s their job to come up with legislation to fund public schools by March 9. Right now, Democrats donā€™t have a plan. Democratic leaders appear inclined to wait until a quarterly state revenue forecast on Feb 15 to find out whether extra state income from a good economy might trim that $1 billion estimate. That's three weeks.

In fact, only Gov. Jay Inslee has a plan so far to raise the $1 billionā€”and it has the tiniest of margins to pass the Legislature. He proposes a new $20-per-ton tax on carbon emissions starting July 1, 2019. Sen. Reuven Carlyle, D-Seattle and Rep. Joe Fitzgibbons, D-Burien, have introduced parallel bills to put Insleeā€™s plan into effect.

Democrats have a 50-48 edge in the House and a 25-24 advantage in the Senate. So a single Democratic legislator from a purplish swing district can sink a carbon tax proposal. This is the first time the party has controlled both chambers since December 2012.

ā€œWeā€™re talking with legislators on an hourly basis on how to (pass) this bill,ā€ Inslee said Tuesday.

Fitzgibbon has introduced carbon tax proposals annually, but they never gathered the 50 votes within the Democratic caucus to risk a full House floor vote.

On Tuesday, Senate Majority Leader Sharon Nelson, D-Maury Island, and House Majority Leader Pat Sullivan, D-Covington, said more businesses have voiced support for a carbon tax, especially since a nuanced bill can be worked out in the Legislature, while a potential autumn ballot initiative on the subject would be blunter and less sophisticated. ā€œThis has gained a lot of steam,ā€ Nelson said.

However, neither the House nor Senate Democrats have counted votes yet within their own caucuses on a carbon tax. Nelson speculated that if a carbon tax goes to floor votes in the House and Senate, a few Republicans will likely vote for a carbon tax.

But on Tuesday, Republican leaders poo-poohed the idea of a few of their members breaking ranks to support a carbon tax to raise the final $1 billion needed to meet the Supreme Courtā€™s requirements. Senate GOP caucus chairwoman Randi Becker, R-Eatonville, and House Minority Leader Dan Kristiansen, R-Snohomish, both doubted any Republicans would support a carbon tax. ā€œThe first question is whether (the Democratic) caucuses support it,ā€ said Rep. J.T. Wilcox, R-Yelm.

The GOP stance has been that an extra $1 billion does not need to be raised, and the Republican caucuses will be happy to have the Legislature punt on the issue.

Right now, Democrats have no Plan B if a carbon tax fails.

Rep. Kristine Lytton, D-Anacortes, introduced a capital gains tax bill Monday. But Sullivan said her billā€™s purpose is to trim some of the property tax hike caused by 2017ā€™s compromise between Republicans and Democrats on McCleary funding.

Meanwhile, Republicans privately grumble that the capital gains tax proposal is a Trojan Horse to spark a legal challenge on whether a capital gains tax is really an unconstitutional income tax or a constitutionally-allowed excise tax. Nelson doubted that the Senate Democrats can scrape up the votes to pass a capital gains tax without Republicans crossing the aisle to support it.