10 replies on “Omens and Portents”

  1. For some reason I’m really comforted by the football. I’ve discovered how superstitious I am in the past year or so…and I like being comforted by it.

  2. Obama just won his first Precinct in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire (historically the first place to vote for President in the US)

    19 to 6

    first time Democrats have won since 1964

  3. I’m right there with you on the superstition. I couldn’t give a shit about football, yet I just spent the better half of the last hour refreshing an AP story on this stupid game. (Not being a sports fan, I had no idea where one would actually find a sports website that gives realtime scoring…)
    I just got a little misty-eyed when I realized this was the final score.

  4. 311, the most common total, is Obama with NV and OH, McCain with FL, NC, IN, MO, MT, and ND. 338, second-most common, moves FL to Obama’s side. 378, third-most common, moves NC, IN, and either MT or ND to Obama’s side. 353, fourth-most common, has IN, MO, MT, and ND to McCain, NV, OH, NC, and FL to Obama. 291, the fifth-most likely, loses NC and OH to McCain, but retains NV.
    Watch OH. McCain simply cannot win without OH. Likewise, watch GA, because GA is going to be the test of underpolling, meaning that if turnout is potentially going to be high enough above projections to carry the state for Obama, which is going to signal an impending landslide (400 or more EV).

  5. @3: I was coincidentally on ESPN, looking for Champions League times for tomorrow and Wednesday (why don’t they ever show the Arsenal games?), and it was there, being updated.

    I visited every few minutes after that.

  7. I know. I’m seriously loosing my shit. I reload 538’s polling data at 5 to 10 times a day, even though it’s not changing. I don’t think I’ll sleep well tonight.

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